Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
Virciglio F.
70'
70'
Sweeney D.
87'
87'
Lutz C.
AI Match Summary
Worcester in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Worcester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
35%
43%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Worcester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Worcester have won more games recently than Stortford.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Worcester here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Stortford Clean Sheet 16%
Worcester Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stortford | Worcester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Worcester
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Worcester vs Stortford
2:0
Apr 16, 2013 National League North
Stortford vs Worcester
0:1
Aug 20, 2012 National League North
Worcester vs Stortford
2:0
Nov 19, 2011 National League North
Stortford vs Worcester
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stortford Compare
Top Goalscorer Virciglio F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Worcester Compare
Top Goalscorer Sweeney D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lutz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stortford 36 / 100
Worcester 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stortford Worcester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stortford found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Worcester conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Stortford has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stortford VS Worcester
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stortford
(Home) 08 Aug
Stortford
0 : 0 Banbury
31 Jul
Stortford
1 : 1 Enfield Town
28 Jul
St Ives Town
3 : 2 Stortford
11 Jul
Stortford
1 : 3 Chelmsford
04 Jul
Harlow
0 : 0 Stortford
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Stortford
0 : 0 Banbury
31 Jul
Stortford
1 : 1 Enfield Town
11 Jul
Stortford
1 : 3 Chelmsford
03 Apr
Stortford
1 : 1 Stratford
14 Mar
Stortford
2 : 0 Alvechurch
Page 1 of 3
Worcester
(Away) 08 Aug
Stratford
1 : 1 Worcester
01 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0 Merthyr Town
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0 Worcester
10 Jul
Worcester
0 : 0 Malvern Town
25 Apr
Worcester
4 : 4 Spalding United
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Stratford
1 : 1 Worcester
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0 Worcester
11 Apr
Kettering
2 : 1 Worcester
03 Apr
Bury Town
1 : 1 Worcester
21 Mar
Leiston
1 : 0 Worcester
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
