Sport Picks
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier Central 
Match Events
12'
12'
Clayton-Phillips N.
18'
18'
Okafor M.
88'
88'
Wragg C.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central game between Stourbridge and Alvechurch finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alvechurch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stourbridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Alvechurch carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Stourbridge a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 12%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stourbridge | Alvechurch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 10, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch
1:2
Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Stourbridge
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Stourbridge
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Alvechurch
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stourbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Wragg C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Alvechurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Clayton-Phillips N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Okafor M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stourbridge 47 / 100
Alvechurch 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stourbridge Alvechurch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stourbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stourbridge's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Alvechurch let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Stourbridge remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Stourbridge VS Alvechurch
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Stourbridge
(Home) 10 Nov
Stourbridge
1 : 2 Alvechurch
07 Nov
Needham Market
4 : 1 Stourbridge
31 Oct
Stourbridge
4 : 1 Kettering
27 Oct
Real Bedford
0 : 1 Stourbridge
24 Oct
Loughborough Students
0 : 2 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Stourbridge
1 : 2 Alvechurch
31 Oct
Stourbridge
4 : 1 Kettering
10 Oct
Stourbridge
2 : 1 Leighton Town
03 Oct
Stourbridge
0 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
Page 1 of 4
Alvechurch
(Away) 10 Nov
Stourbridge
1 : 2 Alvechurch
07 Nov
Plymouth
4 : 0 Alvechurch
31 Oct
Leiston
1 : 3 Alvechurch
27 Oct
Alvechurch
2 : 2 Anstey Nomads
24 Oct
Stratford
4 : 4 Alvechurch
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Stourbridge
1 : 2 Alvechurch
07 Nov
Plymouth
4 : 0 Alvechurch
31 Oct
Leiston
1 : 3 Alvechurch
24 Oct
Stratford
4 : 4 Alvechurch
17 Oct
Spalding United
2 : 2 Alvechurch
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 47:23 | 41 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 34:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 32:27 | 36 |
| 4 | Kettering | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Peterborough Sports | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Alvechurch | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29:14 | 29 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 33:24 | 29 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 36:24 | 28 |
| 9 | Rushall | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 33:29 | 28 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:24 | 24 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | 22 |
| 12 | Stratford | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:28 | 22 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 14 | Redditch | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 18 |
| 15 | Worcester | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:18 | 16 |
| 16 | Hitchin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20:24 | 16 |
| 17 | Leiston | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 26:33 | 15 |
| 18 | Stortford | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 19 | Banbury | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 20 | Leamington | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 24:33 | 13 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16:35 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:40 | 5 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
