Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stourbridge vs Kettering - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pavey C.
30' Event
Wragg C.
53' Event
Wragg C.

AI Match Summary

Stourbridge in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stourbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Stourbridge
15%
Draws
42%
Kettering
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stourbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Kettering have won more games recently than Stourbridge.
  • Stourbridge are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Kettering Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stourbridge Kettering
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.47 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Kettering
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Kettering
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Stourbridge
5:0
Feb 15, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Kettering
1:3
Oct 22, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Stourbridge
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stourbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Wragg C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pavey C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kettering Compare

Top Goalscorer White J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stourbridge 47 / 100
Kettering 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stourbridge Kettering

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stourbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Stourbridge scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kettering let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Stourbridge stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stourbridge VS Kettering
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stourbridge

(Home)
10 Nov
Stourbridge
1 : 2
Alvechurch
07 Nov
Needham Market
4 : 1
Stourbridge
31 Oct
Stourbridge
4 : 1
Kettering
27 Oct
Real Bedford
0 : 1
Stourbridge
24 Oct
Loughborough Students
0 : 2
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

Kettering

(Away)
10 Nov
Anstey Nomads
1 : 0
Kettering
07 Nov
Kettering
2 : 1
Redditch
03 Nov
Bury Town
2 : 3
Kettering
31 Oct
Stourbridge
4 : 1
Kettering
27 Oct
Kettering
3 : 2
Rushall
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 18 13 2 3 47:23 41
2 Bromsgrove 16 11 4 1 34:18 37
3 Bury Town 18 11 3 4 32:27 36
4 Kettering 17 9 4 4 31:19 31
5 Peterborough Sports 17 8 6 3 33:26 30
6 Alvechurch 15 8 5 2 29:14 29
7 Anstey Nomads 16 8 5 3 33:24 29
8 Needham Market 16 8 4 4 36:24 28
9 Rushall 18 9 1 8 33:29 28
10 Halesowen 15 7 3 5 24:24 24
11 Stourbridge 16 6 4 6 21:23 22
12 Stratford 17 5 7 5 24:28 22
13 Racing Club Warwick 17 5 5 7 24:24 20
14 Redditch 15 4 6 5 23:23 18
15 Worcester 14 4 4 6 17:18 16
16 Hitchin 16 4 4 8 20:24 16
17 Leiston 15 4 3 8 26:33 15
18 Stortford 17 4 2 11 19:30 14
19 Banbury 17 3 5 9 19:31 14
20 Leamington 17 3 4 10 24:33 13
21 Leighton Town 15 1 3 11 16:35 6
22 Stamford 16 1 2 13 5:40 5
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)