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Stourbridge vs Leamington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Finn K.
76' Event
Eubank C.

AI Match Summary

Leamington in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leamington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Stourbridge
15%
Draws
21%
Leamington
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stourbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Stourbridge have won more games recently than Leamington.
  • Win probability leans Stourbridge's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 15%
Leamington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stourbridge Leamington
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.62 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Leamington
0:2
Apr 9, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Leamington
1:1
Oct 24, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Leamington vs Stourbridge
2:1
Sep 22, 2018 FA Cup
Stourbridge vs Leamington
3:2
Dec 16, 2017 FA Trophy
Leamington vs Stourbridge
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stourbridge Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Leamington Compare

Top Goalscorer Finn K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eubank C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stourbridge 66 / 100
Leamington 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stourbridge Leamington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stourbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leamington has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Stourbridge scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Stourbridge went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stourbridge VS Leamington
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stourbridge

(Home)
10 Nov
Stourbridge
1 : 2
Alvechurch
07 Nov
Needham Market
4 : 1
Stourbridge
31 Oct
Stourbridge
4 : 1
Kettering
27 Oct
Real Bedford
0 : 1
Stourbridge
24 Oct
Loughborough Students
0 : 2
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

Leamington

(Away)
10 Nov
Leamington
2 : 3
Bromsgrove
07 Nov
Banbury
0 : 1
Leamington
31 Oct
Leamington
2 : 4
Peterborough Sports
27 Oct
Halesowen
3 : 2
Leamington
20 Oct
Rushall
3 : 1
Leamington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 18 13 2 3 47:23 41
2 Bromsgrove 16 11 4 1 34:18 37
3 Bury Town 18 11 3 4 32:27 36
4 Kettering 17 9 4 4 31:19 31
5 Peterborough Sports 17 8 6 3 33:26 30
6 Alvechurch 15 8 5 2 29:14 29
7 Anstey Nomads 16 8 5 3 33:24 29
8 Needham Market 16 8 4 4 36:24 28
9 Rushall 18 9 1 8 33:29 28
10 Halesowen 15 7 3 5 24:24 24
11 Stourbridge 16 6 4 6 21:23 22
12 Stratford 17 5 7 5 24:28 22
13 Racing Club Warwick 17 5 5 7 24:24 20
14 Redditch 15 4 6 5 23:23 18
15 Worcester 14 4 4 6 17:18 16
16 Hitchin 16 4 4 8 20:24 16
17 Leiston 15 4 3 8 26:33 15
18 Stortford 17 4 2 11 19:30 14
19 Banbury 17 3 5 9 19:31 14
20 Leamington 17 3 4 10 24:33 13
21 Leighton Town 15 1 3 11 16:35 6
22 Stamford 16 1 2 13 5:40 5
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Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)