Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Finn K.
76'
76'
Eubank C.
AI Match Summary
Leamington in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leamington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leamington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Stourbridge have won more games recently than Leamington.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 18%
Leamington Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stourbridge | Leamington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Leamington
0:2
Apr 9, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Leamington
1:1
Oct 24, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Leamington vs Stourbridge
2:1
Sep 22, 2018 FA Cup
Stourbridge vs Leamington
3:2
Dec 16, 2017 FA Trophy
Leamington vs Stourbridge
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stourbridge Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Leamington Compare
Top Goalscorer Finn K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eubank C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stourbridge 32 / 100
Leamington 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stourbridge Leamington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leamington has conceded goals in 92% of their last 26 outings.
Stourbridge scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Stourbridge went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stourbridge VS Leamington
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Stourbridge
(Home) 22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
29 Aug
Banbury
1 : 1 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
22 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 2 Leiston
08 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 0 Stamford
Page 1 of 3
Leamington
(Away) 22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1 Leamington
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1 Leamington
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
22 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 0 Leamington
08 Aug
Real Bedford
4 : 2 Leamington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 19 |
| 5 | Kettering | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 15 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Peterborough Sports | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Leiston | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Stortford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Redditch | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Halesowen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Stourbridge | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Worcester | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Banbury | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 18 | Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 21 | Stratford | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1:21 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
