Sport Picks
Stourbridge vs Leiston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier Central 
Match Events
3'
3'
Jackson E.
13'
13'
Lewis D.
17'
17'
Masidi J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stourbridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Leiston average 1.79 goals a game right now, well clear of Stourbridge's 1.45.
- Win probability leans Stourbridge's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 17%
Leiston Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stourbridge | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Leiston
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Stourbridge
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Leiston
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Leiston
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Stourbridge
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stourbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Lewis D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Masidi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Leiston Compare
Top Goalscorer Jackson E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mills A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stourbridge 66 / 100
Leiston 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stourbridge Leiston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stourbridge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leiston let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: Stourbridge scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Stourbridge went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stourbridge VS Leiston
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Stourbridge
(Home) 10 Nov
Stourbridge
1 : 2 Alvechurch
07 Nov
Needham Market
4 : 1 Stourbridge
31 Oct
Stourbridge
4 : 1 Kettering
27 Oct
Real Bedford
0 : 1 Stourbridge
24 Oct
Loughborough Students
0 : 2 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Stourbridge
1 : 2 Alvechurch
31 Oct
Stourbridge
4 : 1 Kettering
10 Oct
Stourbridge
2 : 1 Leighton Town
03 Oct
Stourbridge
0 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
Page 1 of 4
Leiston
(Away) 10 Nov
Leiston
1 : 4 Real Bedford
07 Nov
Bromsgrove
3 : 2 Leiston
31 Oct
Leiston
1 : 3 Alvechurch
27 Oct
Peterborough Sports
2 : 5 Leiston
20 Oct
Kettering
4 : 0 Leiston
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Bromsgrove
3 : 2 Leiston
27 Oct
Peterborough Sports
2 : 5 Leiston
20 Oct
Kettering
4 : 0 Leiston
10 Oct
Racing Club Warwick
0 : 0 Leiston
29 Sept
Real Bedford
3 : 2 Leiston
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 47:23 | 41 |
| 2 | Bromsgrove | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 34:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Bury Town | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 32:27 | 36 |
| 4 | Kettering | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Peterborough Sports | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Alvechurch | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29:14 | 29 |
| 7 | Anstey Nomads | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 33:24 | 29 |
| 8 | Needham Market | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 36:24 | 28 |
| 9 | Rushall | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 33:29 | 28 |
| 10 | Halesowen | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24:24 | 24 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | 22 |
| 12 | Stratford | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:28 | 22 |
| 13 | Racing Club Warwick | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 14 | Redditch | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 18 |
| 15 | Worcester | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:18 | 16 |
| 16 | Hitchin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20:24 | 16 |
| 17 | Leiston | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 26:33 | 15 |
| 18 | Stortford | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 19 | Banbury | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 20 | Leamington | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 24:33 | 13 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16:35 | 6 |
| 22 | Stamford | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:40 | 5 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
