Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Jackson E.
13'
13'
Lewis D.
17'
17'
Masidi J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leiston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leiston lately — more wins on the board than Stourbridge.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Leiston Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stourbridge | Leiston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Leiston
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Stourbridge
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Leiston
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Leiston
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Stourbridge
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stourbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Lewis D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Masidi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Leiston Compare
Top Goalscorer Jackson E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mills A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stourbridge 30 / 100
Leiston 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stourbridge Leiston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leiston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stourbridge scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Leiston has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Stourbridge went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stourbridge VS Leiston
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stourbridge
(Home) 22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
29 Aug
Banbury
1 : 1 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
22 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 2 Leiston
08 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 0 Stamford
Page 1 of 3
Leiston
(Away) 22 Sept
Leiston
0 : 2 Peterborough Sports
19 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 2 Leiston
12 Sept
Banbury
1 : 2 Leiston
08 Sept
Leiston
5 : 0 Grays
05 Sept
Grays
0 : 0 Leiston
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 2 Leiston
12 Sept
Banbury
1 : 2 Leiston
05 Sept
Grays
0 : 0 Leiston
31 Aug
Bury Town
4 : 3 Leiston
22 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 2 Leiston
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 19 |
| 5 | Kettering | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 15 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Peterborough Sports | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Leiston | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Stortford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Redditch | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Halesowen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Stourbridge | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Worcester | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Banbury | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 18 | Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 21 | Stratford | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1:21 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
