Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stourport vs Daventry

England England

FA Trophy 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
73' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Stourport
30%
Draws
47%
Daventry
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Daventry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Daventry come out ahead of Stourport on wins alone.
  • Stourport are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Daventry arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Stourport Clean Sheet 20%
Daventry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stourport Daventry
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 2 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2011 FA Trophy
Daventry vs Stourport
3:1
Oct 8, 2011 FA Trophy
Stourport vs Daventry
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stourport 40 / 100
Daventry 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stourport Daventry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stourport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stourport scored in 83% of their last 12 outings.

Daventry's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Daventry lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stourport VS Daventry
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stourport

(Home)
06 Sept
Stourport
0 : 1
Lichfield City
03 Sept
Lichfield City
2 : 2
Stourport
09 Sept
AFC Mansfield
2 : 1
Stourport
15 Sept
Stourport
0 : 1
Holbeach
12 Sept
Holbeach
2 : 2
Stourport
Page 1 of 3

Daventry

(Away)
13 Sept
Daventry
2 : 3
Lincoln Utd.
23 Jul
Daventry
0 : 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
19 Jul
Stratford
2 : 2
Daventry
09 Oct
Daventry
0 : 1
Ilkeston
25 Sept
Stamford
0 : 1
Daventry
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
TBD -
Farsley -
Barton 2
Shepshed 1
Carlton Town 4
Belper Town 5
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Newcastle Town 1
Woodford 0
TBD -
Stafford -
Northwich Victoria -
TBD -
Trafford 1
AFC Fylde 4
Garforth 5
Lancaster 1
TBD -
Buxton -
Hednesford -
TBD -
Market Drayton 1
Bedworth United 2
Stamford 5
Coalville Town 4
TBD -
Matlock -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Nantwich -
TBD -
TBD -
Kendal -
Radcliffe 3
New Mills 2
TBD -
Harrogate Railway -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
Ossett Albion 1
Lincoln Utd. 3
Burscough -
TBD -
Clitheroe 3
Salford 4
Marine -
TBD -
TBD -
Chorley -
Grantham Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Chasetown -
Ossett Town 2
Wakefield 1
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Sheffield FC 5
Warrington Town 4
Cammell Laird 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Leamington -
TBD -
Halesowen 0
Romulus 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
TBD -
Quorn 0
Biggleswade Town 5
Whitby -
TBD -
Skelmersdale 3
Woodley 4
Durham 2
Prescot Cables 1
TBD -
Goole -
Frickley -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Leek Town -
TBD -
Rainworth 1
Hucknall 2
Brigg Town 2
Mossley AFC 1
TBD -
Witton Albion -
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Stourport 2
Daventry 4
Grays 5
Waltham Abbey 1
North Greenford Utd. 3
Whyteleafe 4
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Faversham 7
Walton Casuals 5
Tilbury 1
Walthamstow FC 2
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
East Thurrock Utd -
Margate -
TBD -
Ware 0
Chipstead 1
Tooting & Mitcham -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Harrow Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
TBD -
Merstham -
Hastings -
TBD -
Romford 1
Bedfont Sports 4
Harlow -
TBD -
TBD -
Concord Rangers -
Cray Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Bury Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
Burgess Hill 3
Corinthian-Casuals 0
TBD -
Hythe -
Uxbridge -
TBD -
Northwood 4
Sittingbourne 5
AFC Hayes 2
Cheshunt 1
Heybridge 0
Potters 1
Cambridge City -
TBD -
TBD -
Rushall -
Needham Market 7
Ramsgate 2
Ilford 2
Redbridge 3
Hitchin -
TBD -
Chatham 3
Eastbourne Town 4
Brentwood 1
Leiston 0
TBD -
Lowestoft -
Billericay -
TBD -
Soham 1
Whitehawk 7
Sutton 5
Rugby 1
TBD -
Neots -
Thamesmead 3
Whitstable Town 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Enfield Town 2
Sudbury 6
Great Wakering 1
TBD -
Arlesey -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
Croydon Athletic -
Mickleover -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Banbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
Bishops Cleeve 0
Paulton Rovers 1
Carshalton -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town 0
Bideford 2
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Cirencester -
Worthing FC 5
Crawley Town 3
TBD -
Bashley -
Marlow -
TBD -
Clevedon 1
Didcot 3
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Aylesbury Vale -
TBD -
Bridgwater United 1
Tiverton 3
Gosport Borough 3
Slough Town 0
Wimborne 0
Sholing 2
Kingstonian -
TBD -
TBD -
Godalming Town -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Cinderford Town 0
Poole Town 3
Oxford City -
TBD -
Bognor Regis 0
Mangotsfield 1
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
Abingdon 3
Chalfont St Peter 4
St. Albans -
TBD -
Maidstone 1
Ashford Town 3
Thatcham 2
North Leigh 0
TBD -
Frome Town -
Totton & Eling -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Yate 2
Hungerford 1
Burnham FC 0
Fleet Town 1
Andover -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Curzon Ashton 4
Farsley 2
Barton 0
Belper Town 1
Chester 2
Ashton United 1
Newcastle Town 3
Stafford 6
Northwich Victoria 4
AFC Fylde 2
Garforth 2
Buxton 4
Hednesford 1
Bedworth United 0
Stamford 0
Matlock 3
Stourbridge 2
Redditch 1
Nantwich 0
Kendal 1
Radcliffe 2
Harrogate Railway 1
Bradford PA 2
Worksop 5
North Ferriby United 3
Lincoln Utd. 1
Burscough 0
Salford 1
Marine 1
Chorley 0
Grantham Town 0
Chasetown 5
Ossett Town 5
Stocksbridge 4
Evesham 3
Barwell 7
Sheffield FC 3
Bamber Bridge 0
Leamington 0
Romulus 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Whitby 1
Woodley 3
Durham 3
Goole 2
Frickley 0
United of Manchester 4
Leek Town 4
Hucknall 1
Brigg Town 1
Witton Albion 6
Folkestone 1
Metropolitan Police 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Daventry 4
Grays 3
Whyteleafe 0
Hendon 0
Canvey Island 4
Faversham 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Bedford 2
East Thurrock Utd 3
Margate 3
Chipstead 1
Tooting & Mitcham 0
Wealdstone 3
Harrow Borough 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Hornchurch 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Merstham 0
Hastings 1
Bedfont Sports 3
Harlow 3
Concord Rangers 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Lewes 2
Bury Town 1
Aveley 0
Burgess Hill 0
Hythe 1
Uxbridge 3
Sittingbourne 1
AFC Hayes 0
Potters 1
Cambridge City 2
Rushall 0
Needham Market 1
Redbridge 3
Hitchin 3
Eastbourne Town 1
Brentwood 2
Lowestoft 3
Billericay 1
Whitehawk 0
Sutton 1
Neots 3
Thamesmead 2
Enfield Town 0
Sudbury 1
Arlesey 3
Hemel Hempstead 3
Croydon Athletic 1
Mickleover 0
Brackley 1
Banbury 1
Leighton Town 0
Taunton Town 0
Paulton Rovers 3
Carshalton 3
Bideford 1
Leatherhead 1
Cirencester 3
Worthing FC 6
Bashley 4
Marlow 1
Didcot 5
Chesham 5
Horsham FC 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Tiverton 2
Gosport Borough 1
Sholing 0
Kingstonian 0
Godalming Town 1
Chippenham Town 3
Poole Town 2
Oxford City 0
Mangotsfield 3
Chertsey Town 2
Chalfont St Peter 0
St. Albans 1
Ashford Town 3
Thatcham 1
Frome Town 0
Totton & Eling 2
Weymouth 3
Yate 5
Fleet Town 0
Andover -
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Curzon Ashton 2
Belper Town 1
Chester 2
Stafford 0
Northwich Victoria 3
Buxton 0
Hednesford 1
Matlock 2
Stourbridge 9
Kendal 3
Radcliffe 1
Worksop 3
North Ferriby United 3
Salford 0
Marine 5
Chasetown 2
Ossett Town 4
Barwell 2
Sheffield FC 2
Romulus 0
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Woodley 1
Durham 2
United of Manchester 4
Leek Town 4
Witton Albion 7
Folkestone 4
Daventry 2
Grays 2
Canvey Island 3
Faversham 2
East Thurrock Utd 4
Margate 2
Wealdstone 3
Harrow Borough 1
Hornchurch 2
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Bedfont Sports 2
Harlow 3
Lewes 2
Bury Town 3
Hythe 2
Uxbridge 5
Potters 2
Cambridge City 1
Redbridge 2
Hitchin 1
Lowestoft 3
Billericay 2
Neots 0
Thamesmead 3
Arlesey 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Brackley 3
Banbury 3
Paulton Rovers 1
Carshalton 3
Cirencester 1
Worthing FC 0
Didcot 2
Chesham 2
Tiverton 3
Gosport Borough 4
Godalming Town 0
Chippenham Town 3
Mangotsfield 1
Chertsey Town 6
Ashford Town 5
Thatcham 2
Weymouth 7
Yate 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -