Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Strabane Athletic vs Derriaghy

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Strabane Athletic in this Irish Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Strabane Athletic
15%
Draws
36%
Derriaghy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strabane Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Strabane Athletic have won more games recently than Derriaghy.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Strabane Athletic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Strabane Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Derriaghy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strabane Athletic Derriaghy
Matches Played 27 22
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.04 2
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2018 Irish Cup
Strabane Athletic vs Derriaghy
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strabane Athletic 29 / 100
Derriaghy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strabane Athletic Derriaghy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strabane Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strabane Athletic found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

Derriaghy has conceded goals in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Derriaghy's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Strabane Athletic VS Derriaghy
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Strabane Athletic

(Home)
15 Aug
Glenavon
4 : 1
Strabane Athletic
11 Aug
Moyola
1 : 3
Strabane Athletic
07 Aug
Strabane Athletic
0 : 1
Institute
01 Aug
Limavady
1 : 0
Strabane Athletic
18 Jul
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

Derriaghy

(Away)
25 Nov
Queens University
3 : 2
Derriaghy
17 Aug
Annagh
4 : 1
Derriaghy
18 Aug
Strabane Athletic
2 : 1
Derriaghy
30 Sept
Derriaghy
1 : 2
Shankill
19 Aug
Derriaghy
3 : 1
Bourneview Mill
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 6
Cookstown Youth 1
Aquinas 3
Foundry 4
Moneyslane FC -
TBD -
Bangor Swifts 1
Crumlin United 2
Newtowne FC 6
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Broomhedge 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 12
Annagh -
TBD -
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Rosemount Rec -
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
St Luke's 0
TBD -
Dundonald -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Mossley FC 3
Iveagh Utd 2
Dungiven 5
Lurgan Town Boys -
TBD -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Desertmartin 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Hanover 0
Dunloy 2
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 2
Sofia Farmer 1
Seapatrick 1
Coagh Utd 6
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge -
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Ballymoney 2
Rosario Youth 1
Derriaghy 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Ardstraw 7
Dromore Amateurs 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Brantwood 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 2
Saintfield 1
Laurelvale 3
Valley Rangers 3
Tandragee 2
TBD -
Newington FC -
Comber Rec 1
Immaculata 0
Dromara 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness -
Shankill -
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Bangor Old Boys -
Wellington Rec -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 9
Malachians 2
Lower Maze 2
Trojans 3
Ballynahinch United 3
Groomsport 2
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Seagoe -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Woodvale 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Oxford Sunnyside 6
Bryansburn 3
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Portstewart -
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Dergview -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Markethill 3
Killyleagh Youth 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Sirocco 0
Glebe 1
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Moyola -
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Crewe -
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Loughgall -
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Larne -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa -
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Chimney 2
Grove 5
Colin Valley 2
Suffolk 1
Silverwood 1
Shorts 8
Fivemiletown 7
Bloomfield 0
Oxford Stars 0
Wakehurst 1
Bangor Amateurs FC 3
Newcastle 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Tullycarnet 4
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Portadown -
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Ballyclare -
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Ballinamallard -
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PSNI -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 2
Foundry 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Crumlin United 5
Newtowne FC 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 0
Annagh 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Dundonald 0
Dunmurry Rec 1
Dungiven 4
Lurgan Town Boys 4
Desertmartin 1
Armagh 0
Dunloy 2
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 4
Coagh Utd 2
Ards Rangers 0
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ballymoney 1
Strabane Athletic 5
Queens University 4
Dollingstown 3
Ardstraw 3
Tobermore 5
Brantwood 2
Laurelvale 1
Valley Rangers 1
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Drumaness 4
Shankill 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Wellington Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 3
Trojans 1
Ballynahinch United 3
Seagoe 4
Lurgan Celtic -
St. Patricks Young -
Oxford Sunnyside -
Portstewart -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure 2
Kilmore Rec 1
Moyola 1
Crewe 2
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Loughgall -
Newry City -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Grove 3
Colin Valley 3
Shorts 4
Fivemiletown 3
Wakehurst 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Tullycarnet 1
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Ballinamallard -
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PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
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TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
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TBD -
Islandmagee 3
Crumlin United 1
Newtowne FC 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dungiven 1
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Dunloy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 2
Newbuildings 0
Banbridge 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Tobermore 3
Brantwood 2
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 2
Drumaness 1
Shankill 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
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TBD -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 4
Seagoe 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Portstewart 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 5
Bangor FC 3
Sport & Leisure 0
Crewe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa 3
Shorts 1
Fivemiletown 1
Tullycarnet 2
TBD -
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Islandmagee 1
Rosemount Rec 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dunloy 0
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 4
Newington FC 1
Comber Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 1
Portstewart 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 2
Crewe 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Tullycarnet 3
TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
PSNI 1
Ards 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Glenavon 5
Rosemount Rec 0
Cliftonville 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Limavady 0
Knockbreda 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Institute 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Maiden City 2
Dergview 3
Crumlin Star 4
Loughgall 1
Newry City 1
Larne 2
Ballymena 3
Dundela 1
Abbey Villa 1
Portadown 5
Linfield 1
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 4
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Glenavon 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Strabane Athletic 1
Queens University 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 3
Dergview 0
Crumlin Star 1
Larne 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 1
Linfield 1
Crusaders 2
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 3
Dungannon 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 5
Larne 3
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Warrenpoint 0
Coleraine 0
Crusaders 2
Final
Ballinamallard 0
Crusaders 3