Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Strabane FC vs Lurgan Town Boys

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2009/2010
Sat, Sep 19, 2009
5 - 6
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lurgan Town Boys in this Irish Cup 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 5-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lurgan Town Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Strabane FC
44%
Draws
20%
Lurgan Town Boys
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Strabane FC haven't matched Lurgan Town Boys's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Irish Cup 2009/2010 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Strabane FC Clean Sheet 10%
Lurgan Town Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strabane FC Lurgan Town Boys
Matches Played 3 14
Wins 0 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.33 2
Goals Conceded 5.67 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.67 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2009 Irish Cup
Strabane FC vs Lurgan Town Boys
5:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strabane FC 34 / 100
Lurgan Town Boys 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strabane FC Lurgan Town Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lurgan Town Boys has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 11.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Strabane FC scored in 67% of their last 3 outings.

Away concern: Lurgan Town Boys has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Strabane FC VS Lurgan Town Boys
2.33 Goals Scored 2
5.67 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Donegal-
Malachians3
Ballynure Old Boys1
TBD-
Bangor Old Boys-
Lurgan Town Boys6
Strabane FC5
Ardstraw0
Newcastle4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
PSNI-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dunmurry Rec-
TBD-
Oxford Sunnyside2
Barn4
Crewe2
Mountjoy1
Abbey Villa0
Islandmagee2
Omagh United-
TBD-
Ballynahinch United1
Kilmore Rec2
Richhill-
TBD-
TBD-
Mosside-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sport & Leisure-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Newry City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moyola-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Ards Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Crumlin United-
Raceview-
TBD-
TBD-
Draperstown-
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
Desertmartin0
Hanover1
Dromara-
TBD-
TBD-
Dollingstown-
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
Nortel6
Bloomfield1
TBD-
Newbuildings-
Seagoe-
TBD-
East Belfast2
Lisburn Rangers3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Killymoon-
Oxford Stars3
Lower Maze2
TBD-
Grove-
Banbridge Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Foundry-
Dungiven-
TBD-
TBD-
Rathfriland Rangers-
Rosario Youth5
Roe Valley0
Kesh2
Bryansburn3
Dundela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Glebe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wakehurst-
Chimney-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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Brantwood-
TBD-
TBD-
Tandragee-
Saintfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Killyleagh Youth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymoney-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fivemiletown-
TBD-
TBD-
U. U. Jordanstown-
Sirocco-
TBD-
Downshire Y.M.0
Wellington Rec8
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Crusaders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banbridge-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Tobermore-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymacash-
TBD-
Kilbride1
Downpatrick3
Broomhedge-
TBD-
Drumaness1
Comber Rec2
Holywood-
TBD-
TBD-
Shorts-
Newington FC2
Laurelvale0
TBD-
Magherafelt-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coagh Utd-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portadown-
1/128-finals
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Donegal-
Malachians3
Bangor Old Boys2
Lurgan Town Boys1
Newcastle5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
PSNI-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dunmurry Rec4
Barn2
Crewe4
Islandmagee6
Omagh United3
Kilmore Rec2
Richhill1
Mosside5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sport & Leisure-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Newry City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moyola-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Ards Rangers5
Crumlin United1
Raceview1
Draperstown2
Warrenpoint4
Hanover1
Dromara1
Dollingstown2
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
Nortel4
Newbuildings0
Seagoe1
Lisburn Rangers5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Killymoon-
Oxford Stars2
Grove0
Banbridge Rangers0
Foundry4
Dungiven3
Rathfriland Rangers2
Rosario Youth3
Bryansburn4
Dundela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Glebe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wakehurst-
Chimney-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brantwood4
Tandragee1
Saintfield0
Killyleagh Youth5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymoney-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fivemiletown3
U. U. Jordanstown2
Sirocco0
Wellington Rec5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Crusaders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banbridge-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Tobermore-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymacash1
Downpatrick0
Broomhedge1
Comber Rec7
Holywood4
Shorts1
Newington FC2
Magherafelt3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coagh Utd-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portadown-
1/64-finals
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
TBD-
TBD-
Donegal-
Malachians4
Newcastle1
TBD-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
PSNI-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
Dunmurry Rec2
Islandmagee6
Omagh United1
Mosside0
TBD-
Sport & Leisure-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Newry City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moyola-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Ards Rangers4
Draperstown1
Warrenpoint0
Dollingstown1
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
Nortel2
Lisburn Rangers1
TBD-
Killymoon-
Oxford Stars7
Foundry5
Dungiven1
Bryansburn3
Dundela-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Glebe-
TBD-
TBD-
Wakehurst-
Chimney-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brantwood3
Killyleagh Youth2
TBD-
Ballymoney-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
Fivemiletown2
Wellington Rec4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Crusaders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banbridge-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Tobermore-
TBD-
Ballymacash1
Comber Rec2
Holywood2
Magherafelt1
TBD-
Coagh Utd-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portadown-
1/32-finals
Linfield-
TBD-
Queens University0
Donegal1
Malachians3
Limavady1
TBD-
Dungannon-
Ballyclare2
PSNI0
Lurgan Celtic1
Islandmagee2
Omagh United2
Sport & Leisure0
TBD-
Glentoran-
Newry City-
TBD-
Moyola0
Larne2
Ards Rangers3
Dollingstown2
Armagh1
Loughgall2
Nortel1
Killymoon0
Oxford Stars2
Bryansburn3
Dundela3
Dergview2
TBD-
Coleraine-
Ballymena-
TBD-
Knockbreda1
Ards2
Glebe1
Wakehurst0
Chimney0
Ballinamallard9
Institute-
TBD-
Brantwood0
Ballymoney4
Harland & Wolff2
Wellington Rec1
TBD-
Glenavon-
Crusaders-
TBD-
Banbridge2
Bangor FC3
Tobermore2
Comber Rec1
Holywood0
Coagh Utd2
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery-
Carrick Rangers3
Annagh1
TBD-
Portadown-
1/16-finals
Linfield4
Donegal0
Malachians0
Dungannon6
Ballyclare5
Islandmagee1
Omagh United0
Glentoran5
Newry City2
Larne1
Ards Rangers1
Loughgall3
Nortel5
Bryansburn4
Dundela0
Coleraine2
Ballymena1
Ards0
Glebe0
Ballinamallard3
Institute2
Ballymoney1
Harland & Wolff1
Glenavon5
Crusaders5
Bangor FC1
Tobermore0
Coagh Utd1
Cliftonville2
Lisburn Distillery0
Carrick Rangers1
Portadown2
1/8-finals
Linfield4
Dungannon0
Ballyclare1
Glentoran2
Newry City2
Loughgall1
Nortel0
Coleraine6
Ballymena5
Ballinamallard2
Institute1
Glenavon2
Crusaders4
Coagh Utd0
Cliftonville1
Portadown2
Quarter-finals
Linfield3
Glentoran1
Newry City2
Coleraine3
Ballymena5
Glenavon3
Crusaders1
Portadown2
Semi-finals
Linfield4
Coleraine2
Ballymena1
Portadown2
Final
Linfield2
Portadown1