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Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Stair Park, Stranraer
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Clelland D.
51' Event
Clelland D.
Penalty Missed
78' Event
Traynor A.
Assist: Stuart J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Stranraer
30%
Draws
12%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Gala Fairydean Rovers haven't matched Stranraer's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Stranraer a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Stranraer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stranraer, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 68%
Gala Fairydean Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stranraer Gala Fairydean Rovers
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Challenge Cup
Stranraer vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer Clelland D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Traynor A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Gala Fairydean Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stranraer 95 / 100
Gala Fairydean Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stranraer Gala Fairydean Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stranraer's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gala Fairydean Rovers conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Stranraer has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stranraer VS Gala Fairydean Rovers
3.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stranraer

(Home)
10 Oct
Annan
1 : 6
Stranraer
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
Page 1 of 6

Gala Fairydean Rovers

(Away)
03 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)