Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Strasbourg vs Auxerre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Strasbourg Logo

Strasbourg

5 - 1
FT
Auxerre Logo

Auxerre

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Godo M.
39'
Sy L.
41' Event
Essugo D.
Assist: Oso
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Strasbourg and Auxerre finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Strasbourg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Strasbourg
15%
Draws
59%
Auxerre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Strasbourg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Strasbourg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strasbourg Auxerre
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Auxerre
5:1
Mar 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Strasbourg
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Auxerre
3:0
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Strasbourg
0:1
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Auxerre
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Strasbourg Compare

Top Goalscorer Yassine G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Essugo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Auxerre Compare

Top Goalscorer Archer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strasbourg 29 / 100
Auxerre 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strasbourg Auxerre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strasbourg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auxerre let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Strasbourg found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Strasbourg went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strasbourg VS Auxerre
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Strasbourg

(Home)
01 Nov
Strasbourg
5 : 1
Auxerre
25 Oct
Rennes
3 : 0
Strasbourg
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3
PSG
11 Oct
Nice
2 : 1
Strasbourg
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
Page 1 of 7

Auxerre

(Away)
01 Nov
Strasbourg
5 : 1
Auxerre
25 Oct
Auxerre
1 : 1
Le Mans
18 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 3
Auxerre
11 Oct
Rennes
4 : 1
Auxerre
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)