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Strasbourg vs Monaco

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Soubeir A. In: Abline M.
Out: Soubeir A.
46'
Sub
Sousa D. In: Essugo D.
Out: Sousa D.
52' Event
Sane S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Strasbourg and Monaco finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Strasbourg
15%
Draws
53%
Monaco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Monaco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Monaco a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%
Monaco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strasbourg Monaco
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Monaco
1:1
May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Monaco
5:4
Feb 5, 2026 Coupe de France
Strasbourg vs Monaco
3:1
Aug 31, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Strasbourg
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Strasbourg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Strasbourg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Monaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunner P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strasbourg 26 / 100
Monaco 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strasbourg Monaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Strasbourg scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Monaco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Strasbourg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strasbourg VS Monaco
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Strasbourg

(Home)
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0
Strasbourg
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2
Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0
Strasbourg
Page 1 of 7

Monaco

(Away)
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2
Monaco
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0
Marseille
27 Aug
Monaco
4 : 1
Gornik Zabrze
23 Aug
Le Havre
0 : 1
Monaco
20 Aug
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 3
Monaco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rennes 4 3 1 0 8:5 10
2 Monaco 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Paris FC 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
4 Lyon 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
5 Lille 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
6 Strasbourg 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
7 Brest 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
8 Lorient 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Troyes 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
10 Lens 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
11 Marseille 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
12 Angers 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
13 Le Mans 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
14 PSG 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
15 Nice 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
16 Le Havre 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
17 Toulouse 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
18 Auxerre 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)