Sport Picks
Strasbourg vs Rayo Vallecano
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg 
Match Events
25'
25'
Chilwell B.
42'
42'
Alemao
46'
46'
Sub
Chilwell B. In: Nanasi S.
Out: Chilwell B.
AI Match Summary
Rayo Vallecano in this Conference League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Strasbourg haven't matched Rayo Vallecano's recent run of results.
- Model gives Strasbourg a 40% chance of winning this.
- Rayo Vallecano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Rayo Vallecano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 10%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Strasbourg | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2026 Conference League
Strasbourg vs Rayo Vallecano
0:1
Apr 30, 2026 Conference League
Rayo Vallecano vs Strasbourg
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Strasbourg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Rayo Vallecano Compare
Top Goalscorer Alemao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Strasbourg 65 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Strasbourg Rayo Vallecano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Strasbourg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Strasbourg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Strasbourg's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Strasbourg VS Rayo Vallecano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Strasbourg
(Home) 19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1 Strasbourg
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1 Monaco
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6 Strasbourg
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1 Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1 Monaco
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1 Lens
04 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 5 Elversberg
25 Jul
Strasbourg
0 : 2 Blackburn
17 May
Strasbourg
5 : 4 Monaco
Page 1 of 3
Rayo Vallecano
(Away) 19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 Racing Santander
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2 Rayo Vallecano
15 Aug
Sevilla
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
08 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0
