Sport Picks
Strasbourg vs Rijeka
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg 
Match Events
21'
21'
Fruk T.
Assist: Gojak A.
31'
31'
Husic A.
52'
52'
Panichelli J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strasbourg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Strasbourg haven't matched Rijeka's recent run of results.
- Strasbourg are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Rijeka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Strasbourg Clean Sheet 13%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Strasbourg | Rijeka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2026 Conference League
Strasbourg vs Rijeka
1:1
Mar 12, 2026 Conference League
Rijeka vs Strasbourg
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Strasbourg Compare
Top Goalscorer Barco V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Rijeka Compare
Top Goalscorer Fruk T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Strasbourg 40 / 100
Rijeka 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Strasbourg Rijeka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Rijeka's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Strasbourg scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Rijeka conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Strasbourg VS Rijeka
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Strasbourg
(Home) 29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1 Lens
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0 Strasbourg
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
08 Aug
Freiburg
2 : 0 Strasbourg
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 1 Lens
04 Aug
Strasbourg
2 : 5 Elversberg
25 Jul
Strasbourg
0 : 2 Blackburn
17 May
Strasbourg
5 : 4 Monaco
07 May
Strasbourg
0 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 3
Rijeka
(Away) 31 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 0 Rijeka
27 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 4 Midtjylland
23 Aug
Rijeka
3 : 2 Istra 1961
20 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 0 Rijeka
16 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0 Rijeka
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 0 Rijeka
20 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 0 Rijeka
16 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0 Rijeka
13 Aug
Ilves
1 : 1 Rijeka
30 Jul
Derry City
0 : 1 Rijeka
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0
