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Strasbourg W vs Marseille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Crnogorcevic A.
Assist: Kogel K.
29' Event
Ouedraogo H.
Assist: Fonseca B. P.
30' Event
Bourdieu M.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women game between Strasbourg W and Marseille W finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Strasbourg W
30%
Draws
43%
Marseille W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marseille W come out ahead of Strasbourg W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marseille W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Strasbourg W Clean Sheet 12%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strasbourg W Marseille W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Marseille W
3:3
Feb 8, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Marseille W
2:4
Oct 31, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Strasbourg W
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Marseille W
3:0
Dec 17, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Strasbourg W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Strasbourg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Crnogorcevic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kogel K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Marseille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouedraogo H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bourdieu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strasbourg W 10 / 100
Marseille W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strasbourg W Marseille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Strasbourg W scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Marseille W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Strasbourg W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strasbourg W VS Marseille W
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Strasbourg W

(Home)
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
18 Sept
Strasbourg W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
11 Sept
PSG W
2 : 0
Strasbourg W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
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Marseille W

(Away)
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)