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Strasbourg W vs Saint-Malo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Hannequin L.
22'
Lelarge C.
26'
Haelewyn M.

AI Match Summary

Strasbourg W in this Premiere Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Strasbourg W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Strasbourg W
15%
Draws
39%
Saint-Malo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strasbourg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint-Malo W lately — more wins on the board than Strasbourg W.
  • Strasbourg W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Strasbourg W Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Malo W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strasbourg W Saint-Malo W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Saint-Malo W
3:2
Feb 4, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Strasbourg W
1:2
Sep 18, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Saint-Malo W
0:2
May 22, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Strasbourg W vs Saint-Malo W
1:2
Sep 5, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Malo W vs Strasbourg W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Strasbourg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hannequin L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Traore M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Malo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Charpentier A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strasbourg W 40 / 100
Saint-Malo W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strasbourg W Saint-Malo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strasbourg W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Strasbourg W scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Saint-Malo W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Strasbourg W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strasbourg W VS Saint-Malo W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Strasbourg W

(Home)
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
18 Sept
Strasbourg W
0 : 2
Paris FC W
11 Sept
PSG W
2 : 0
Strasbourg W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
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Saint-Malo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Strasbourg W
3 : 2
Saint-Malo W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)