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Stratford vs Needham Market - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Roberts K.
56' Event
Dye J.
82' Event
Palmer H.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central game between Stratford and Needham Market finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Needham Market.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Stratford
35%
Draws
27%
Needham Market
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stratford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Needham Market carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Stratford taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Stratford Clean Sheet 12%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stratford Needham Market
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Needham Market
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stratford
1:0
Nov 4, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Needham Market
2:2
Feb 27, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Stratford
1:0
Aug 5, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Needham Market
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stratford Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Needham Market Compare

Top Goalscorer Dye J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palmer H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stratford 47 / 100
Needham Market 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stratford Needham Market

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stratford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Stratford went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Stratford scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Needham Market let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stratford VS Needham Market
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stratford

(Home)
10 Nov
Stratford
2 : 1
Banbury
07 Nov
Stortford
0 : 1
Stratford
31 Oct
Stratford
3 : 1
Hitchin
27 Oct
Bromsgrove
2 : 2
Stratford
24 Oct
Stratford
4 : 4
Alvechurch
Page 1 of 6

Needham Market

(Away)
07 Nov
Needham Market
4 : 1
Stourbridge
31 Oct
Redditch
3 : 3
Needham Market
27 Oct
Needham Market
1 : 1
Leighton Town
24 Oct
Needham Market
0 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
20 Oct
Needham Market
2 : 1
Stortford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 18 13 2 3 47:23 41
2 Bromsgrove 16 11 4 1 34:18 37
3 Bury Town 18 11 3 4 32:27 36
4 Kettering 17 9 4 4 31:19 31
5 Peterborough Sports 17 8 6 3 33:26 30
6 Alvechurch 15 8 5 2 29:14 29
7 Anstey Nomads 16 8 5 3 33:24 29
8 Needham Market 16 8 4 4 36:24 28
9 Rushall 18 9 1 8 33:29 28
10 Halesowen 15 7 3 5 24:24 24
11 Stourbridge 16 6 4 6 21:23 22
12 Stratford 17 5 7 5 24:28 22
13 Racing Club Warwick 17 5 5 7 24:24 20
14 Redditch 15 4 6 5 23:23 18
15 Worcester 14 4 4 6 17:18 16
16 Hitchin 16 4 4 8 20:24 16
17 Leiston 15 4 3 8 26:33 15
18 Stortford 17 4 2 11 19:30 14
19 Banbury 17 3 5 9 19:31 14
20 Leamington 17 3 4 10 24:33 13
21 Leighton Town 15 1 3 11 16:35 6
22 Stamford 16 1 2 13 5:40 5
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)