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Stratford vs Stamford

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lobjoit L.
29' Event
Roberts K.
52' Event
Tonge K.

AI Match Summary

Stratford in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stratford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Stratford
35%
Draws
40%
Stamford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stamford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Stratford at 1.6 per game, Stamford at 1.17.
  • Stamford are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Stratford have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Stratford Clean Sheet 19%
Stamford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stratford Stamford
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Stamford
4:2
Oct 18, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Stratford
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Stamford
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Stratford
0:2
Jan 6, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stratford vs Stamford
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stratford Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader James O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Stamford Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobjoit L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tonge K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stratford 12 / 100
Stamford 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stratford Stamford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Stratford's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stratford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Stamford conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Stratford VS Stamford
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stratford

(Home)
08 Aug
Stratford
1 : 1
Worcester
25 Jul
Stratford
0 : 5
Kidderminster
21 Jul
Stratford
1 : 0
Brackley
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0
Stratford
18 Apr
Stratford
1 : 2
Bromsgrove
Page 1 of 6

Stamford

(Away)
08 Aug
Stourbridge
2 : 0
Stamford
25 Apr
Stamford
0 : 0
Harborough
18 Apr
Royston Town
0 : 3
Stamford
14 Apr
Stamford
4 : 0
Banbury
11 Apr
Bury Town
0 : 0
Stamford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)