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Stadium Background

Strathspey Thistle vs Dalbeattie Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Strathspey Thistle
15%
Draws
0%
Dalbeattie Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strathspey Thistle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Strathspey Thistle lately — more wins on the board than Dalbeattie Star.
  • Strathspey Thistle are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Strathspey Thistle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Strathspey Thistle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Strathspey Thistle Clean Sheet 20%
Dalbeattie Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strathspey Thistle Dalbeattie Star
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 0
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.59 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.72 4.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Scottish Cup
Strathspey Thistle vs Dalbeattie Star
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strathspey Thistle 85 / 100
Dalbeattie Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strathspey Thistle Dalbeattie Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strathspey Thistle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dalbeattie Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Dalbeattie Star lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Strathspey Thistle found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Strathspey Thistle VS Dalbeattie Star
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Strathspey Thistle

(Home)
10 Oct
Fraserburgh
2 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2
Dalbeattie Star
25 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
0 : 1
Forres Mechanics
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3
Strathspey Thistle
Page 1 of 6

Dalbeattie Star

(Away)
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2
Dalbeattie Star
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6
Cumnock Juniors
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
Kelty Hearts -
Brora Rangers -
Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
Cumbernauld Colts -
Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
Gretna 2008 -
Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
Renfrew -
Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle -
Clachnacuddin -
Stranraer -
Tayport FC -
Penicuik -
Clyde -
Threave Rovers -
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Clydebank FC -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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