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Straz pod Ralskem vs FC Pencin

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Liberecky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Straz pod Ralskem play FC Pencin in the Liberecky KP 2025/2026. FC Pencin are favorites here. Recently, Straz pod Ralskem averaged 2.1 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. FC Pencin averaged 2.87 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Straz pod Ralskem won 0, FC Pencin won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Straz pod Ralskem and 2.44 for FC Pencin. This points to a FC Pencin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Straz pod Ralskem
15%
Draws
63%
FC Pencin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Pencin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Straz pod Ralskem picked up more points recently compared to FC Pencin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Straz pod Ralskem Clean Sheet 10%
FC Pencin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Straz pod Ralskem FC Pencin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 22
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 2
Goals Scored 2.1 2.87
Goals Conceded 2.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Straz pod Ralskem
5:2
Nov 1, 2025 Liberecky KP
Straz pod Ralskem vs FC Pencin
0:5
Apr 26, 2025 Liberecky KP
Straz pod Ralskem vs FC Pencin
1:4
Sep 28, 2024 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Straz pod Ralskem
5:0
Jun 8, 2024 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Straz pod Ralskem
7:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Straz pod Ralskem 22 / 100
FC Pencin 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Straz pod Ralskem FC Pencin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Pencin Win (2)
Secondary Pick FC Pencin & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Straz pod Ralskem attacking → ← attacking FC Pencin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Straz pod Ralskem scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

FC Pencin let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Straz pod Ralskem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Pencin lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 72
3.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75