Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023

Stresa Vergante

1 - 1

Ligorna

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Gulli A.

(Penalty)

79'

Grechi D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Stresa Vergante

Draws

90%

Ligorna

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ligorna have won more games recently than Stresa Vergante.
90% — that's where the model lands on Ligorna taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Stresa Vergante Clean Sheet 18%

Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stresa Vergante	Ligorna
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	21
Draws	10	7
Losses	15	4
Goals Scored	0	1.63
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group A

Stresa Vergante vs Ligorna

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group A

Ligorna vs Stresa Vergante

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Feb 24, 2019 Serie D - Group A

Stresa Vergante vs Ligorna

Possession: 60% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Nov 4, 2018 Serie D - Group A

Ligorna vs Stresa Vergante

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stresa Vergante Compare

Top Goalscorer Grechi D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Ligorna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stresa Vergante 10 / 100

Ligorna 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stresa Vergante Ligorna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stresa Vergante's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Stresa Vergante has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ligorna has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ligorna

0 Goals Scored 1.63

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestri Levante	38	30	4	4	77:29	94
2	Sanremese	38	21	11	6	59:33	74
3	Bra	38	21	11	6	59:31	74
4	Vado	38	19	12	7	61:40	69
5	Ligorna	38	17	15	6	50:36	66
6	Legnano	38	17	9	12	53:35	60
7	Asti Calcio	38	13	18	7	44:35	57
8	Gozzano	38	16	7	15	51:48	55
9	Borgosesia Calcio	38	14	10	14	54:54	52
10	PDHA	38	12	11	15	33:43	47
11	Castellanzese	38	11	13	14	51:55	46
12	AC Chieri	38	10	15	13	41:45	45
13	Fezzanese	38	11	12	15	47:58	45
14	Chisola	38	11	10	17	43:53	43
15	Pinerolo	38	8	18	12	38:44	42
16	Derthona FbC	38	9	15	14	55:62	42
17	Castanese	38	9	12	17	43:57	39
18	Stresa Vergante	38	7	13	18	37:47	34
19	Casale	38	5	9	24	28:79	24
20	Fossano	38	1	11	26	40:80	14