Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Strogino Moscow vs Rodina Moscow 3 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Atamanskiy I.
55' Event
Ivanov K.
65' Event
Gogidze G.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Strogino Moscow and Rodina Moscow 3 finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodina Moscow 3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Strogino Moscow
15%
Draws
61%
Rodina Moscow 3
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rodina Moscow 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow 3 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rodina Moscow 3's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rodina Moscow 3 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Strogino Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strogino Moscow Rodina Moscow 3
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Rodina Moscow 3
2:5
Jun 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Strogino Moscow
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Rodina Moscow 3
0:6
Apr 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Strogino Moscow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Strogino Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gogidze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Top Goalscorer Atamanskiy I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morozov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strogino Moscow 14 / 100
Rodina Moscow 3 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strogino Moscow Rodina Moscow 3

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow 3 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 3 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Strogino Moscow's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Strogino Moscow stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strogino Moscow VS Rodina Moscow 3
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Strogino Moscow

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
M. Lipetsk
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Rodina Moscow 3

(Away)
10 Oct
Penza
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk 2
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
Page 1 of 6