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Stromsgodset U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Hartog J.
Assist: Bouziane W.
34'
Marcello Silalahi S. A.
46'
Sub
Atikallah R. In: Oud J.
Out: Atikallah R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with AZ Alkmaar U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stromsgodset U19
20%
Draws
33%
AZ Alkmaar U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stromsgodset U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Stromsgodset U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AZ Alkmaar U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Stromsgodset U19 Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stromsgodset U19 AZ Alkmaar U19
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 14 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 2.73 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.64 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2024 UEFA Youth League
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Stromsgodset U19
4:1
Oct 23, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Stromsgodset U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stromsgodset U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Haldorsen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

AZ Alkmaar U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hartog J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bouziane W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stromsgodset U19 83 / 100
AZ Alkmaar U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stromsgodset U19 AZ Alkmaar U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stromsgodset U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stromsgodset U19 scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

AZ Alkmaar U19 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Stromsgodset U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stromsgodset U19 VS AZ Alkmaar U19
2.75 Goals Scored 3.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stromsgodset U19

(Home)
05 Aug
Tromso U19
2 : 1
Stromsgodset U19
29 Jul
Stromsgodset U19
1 : 1
Tromso U19
29 Apr
Stromsgodset U19
6 : 2
Sandnes Ulf U19
15 Apr
Sandefjord U19
2 : 3
Stromsgodset U19
14 Mar
Stromsgodset U19
7 : 0
Sogndal U19
Page 1 of 7

AZ Alkmaar U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
1 : 0
Zwolle U19
05 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 0
PSV U19
29 Aug
De Graafschap U19
0 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dynamo Kyiv U19 -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps U19 0
Maribor U19 8
Bylis U19 2
2 Korriku U19 4
UC Dublin U19 5
Stjarnan U19 3
Stromsgodset U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar U19 -
Zalgiris U19 7
TNS U19 2
TBD -
Manchester United U19 -
Aberdeen U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Akademia U19 -
Genk U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
CSKA Sofia U19 -
Auxerre U19 -
TBD -
Honka U19 3
Valletta U19 4
IFK Goteborg U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Hoffenheim U19 -
Legia U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos U19 -
HB Torshavn U19 1
Progres Niedercorn U19 5
TBD -
Midtjylland U19 -
Betis U19 -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty U19 6
Academia Rebeja U19 2
BFC Daugavpils U19 3
Cliftonville U19 2
TBD -
Sassuolo U19 -
F. Constanta U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
IMT Novi Beograd U19 -
Lok. Zagreb U19 -
TBD -
Din. Minsk U19 6
Pyunik Yerevan U19 3
Trencin U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Brno U19 -
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U19 11
FC Santa Coloma U19 0
Basel U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sabah Baku U19 -
Braga U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Rapid Vienna U19 -
Maccabi Petah Tikva U19 -
TBD -
Brera Strumica U19 2
FK Sarajevo U19 4
Trabzonspor U19 -
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 4
Buducnost U19 6
Semi-finals
Dynamo Kyiv U19 4
Maribor U19 2
2 Korriku U19 5
UC Dublin U19 2
Stromsgodset U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 8
Zalgiris U19 2
Manchester United U19 11
Aberdeen U19 1
Puskas Akademia U19 8
Genk U19 6
CSKA Sofia U19 2
Auxerre U19 7
Valletta U19 0
IFK Goteborg U19 1
Hoffenheim U19 7
Legia U19 6
Pafos U19 0
Progres Niedercorn U19 0
Midtjylland U19 9
Betis U19 11
Kairat Almaty U19 1
BFC Daugavpils U19 0
Sassuolo U19 9
F. Constanta U19 2
IMT Novi Beograd U19 1
Lok. Zagreb U19 2
Din. Minsk U19 1
Trencin U19 6
Brno U19 3
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 7
Tallinna Kalev U19 1
Basel U19 8
Sabah Baku U19 1
Braga U19 2
Rapid Vienna U19 3
Maccabi Petah Tikva U19 0
FK Sarajevo U19 6
Trabzonspor U19 8
Buducnost U19 3
Final
Dynamo Kyiv U19 9
2 Korriku U19 1
AZ Alkmaar U19 2
Manchester United U19 1
Puskas Akademia U19 3
Genk U19 2
Auxerre U19 1
Hoffenheim U19 3
Legia U19 0
Midtjylland U19 9
Betis U19 4
Sassuolo U19 2
F. Constanta U19 1
Lok. Zagreb U19 6
Trencin U19 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 5
Basel U19 1
Rapid Vienna U19 5
FK Sarajevo U19 3
Trabzonspor U19 8