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Stadium Background

Struga vs Arsimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
50'
Mislimi M.
52'
Doshev G.

AI Match Summary

Struga in this 1. MFL matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Struga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Struga
30%
Draws
19%
Arsimi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Struga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Struga have won more games recently than Arsimi.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Struga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Struga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Struga Clean Sheet 20%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Struga Arsimi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 1. MFL
Struga vs Arsimi
6:0
Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Struga vs Arsimi
6:0
May 23, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Struga
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 1. MFL
Struga vs Arsimi
4:0
Aug 15, 2025 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Struga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Struga Compare

Top Goalscorer Radeski M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Aliji A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Arsimi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Struga 85 / 100
Arsimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Struga Arsimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Struga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Struga's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Struga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Arsimi let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Struga VS Arsimi
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Struga

(Home)
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
07 Sept
Struga
1 : 0
Sileks
02 Sept
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 10
Struga
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
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Arsimi

(Away)
24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12
Arsimi
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)