Sport Picks
Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 Hristo Radovanov Stadium, Radomir 
AI Match Summary
Strumska Slava in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Strumska Slava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strumska Slava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Strumska Slava lately — more wins on the board than Botev Ihtiman.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Strumska Slava taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Strumska Slava here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 16%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman
2:1
Oct 23, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Strumska Slava
1:2
Apr 1, 2017 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman
3:0
Sep 11, 2016 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Strumska Slava
1:5
Apr 17, 2016 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Strumska Slava
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Strumska Slava 39 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Strumska Slava Botev Ihtiman
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Strumska Slava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Strumska Slava's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Botev Ihtiman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Strumska Slava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Strumska Slava VS Botev Ihtiman
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Strumska Slava
(Home) 26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2 Strumska Slava
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Bansko
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2 Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Pirin Razlog
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Bansko
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Pirin Razlog
15 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 1 Chavdar Etropole
01 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
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Botev Ihtiman
(Away) 26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2 Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4 Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
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19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4 Botev Ihtiman
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
08 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 3 Botev Ihtiman
15 Jul
Svoge
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
