Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Hristo Radovanov Stadium

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Strumska Slava play Botev Ihtiman in the Third League - South-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Strumska Slava averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Botev Ihtiman averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Strumska Slava won 2, Botev Ihtiman won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Strumska Slava and 1.19 for Botev Ihtiman. This points to a Strumska Slava double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Strumska Slava

30%

Draws

34%

Botev Ihtiman

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Strumska Slava has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Botev Ihtiman.
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Strumska Slava.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 20%

Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Strumska Slava	Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	12
Draws	5	7
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - South-West

Strumska Slava vs Botev Ihtiman

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Oct 23, 2025 Third League - South-West

Botev Ihtiman vs Strumska Slava

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strumska Slava 36 / 100

Botev Ihtiman 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Strumska Slava Botev Ihtiman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strumska Slava scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Botev Ihtiman let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Strumska Slava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Botev Ihtiman lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strumska Slava VS Botev Ihtiman

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38