Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Strumska Slava vs Chavdar Etropole

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Hristo Radovanov Stadium, Radomir
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Strumska Slava in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Strumska Slava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Strumska Slava
15%
Draws
17%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Chavdar Etropole haven't matched Strumska Slava's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Strumska Slava's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Strumska Slava have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strumska Slava Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 2.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Chavdar Etropole
2:1
Mar 22, 2017 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Strumska Slava
1:3
Sep 4, 2016 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Chavdar Etropole
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strumska Slava 85 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strumska Slava Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strumska Slava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strumska Slava found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Chavdar Etropole conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Strumska Slava went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Strumska Slava VS Chavdar Etropole
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Strumska Slava

(Home)
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
22 Aug
Natsional Sofia
0 : 3
Strumska Slava
15 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
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Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
15 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
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