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Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Hristo Radovanov Stadium, Radomir
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Strumska Slava and Pirin Razlog finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Strumska Slava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Strumska Slava
15%
Draws
21%
Pirin Razlog
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Strumska Slava come out ahead of Pirin Razlog on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Strumska Slava taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Strumska Slava here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Strumska Slava Pirin Razlog
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog
3:0
May 30, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Strumska Slava
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog
2:0
Apr 5, 2017 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Strumska Slava
1:2
Sep 18, 2016 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Pirin Razlog
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Strumska Slava 85 / 100
Pirin Razlog 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Strumska Slava Pirin Razlog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strumska Slava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Strumska Slava scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Pirin Razlog conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Strumska Slava has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Strumska Slava VS Pirin Razlog
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Strumska Slava

(Home)
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
22 Aug
Natsional Sofia
0 : 3
Strumska Slava
15 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
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Pirin Razlog

(Away)
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1
Pirin Razlog
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