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Sturm Graz vs A. Lustenau Prediction & H2H Stats

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Merkur-Arena, Graz
Sturm Graz Logo

Sturm Graz

1 - 1
FT
A. Lustenau Logo

A. Lustenau

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Weixelbraun D.
Assist: Danilo Soares
45'
Kacuri D.
46'
Sub
Wlodarczyk S. In: Weiper N.
Out: Wlodarczyk S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga game between Sturm Graz and A. Lustenau finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sturm Graz
15%
Draws
48%
A. Lustenau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: A. Lustenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Sturm Graz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sturm Graz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 16%
A. Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz A. Lustenau
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.64
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs A. Lustenau
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs A. Lustenau
2:0
Aug 19, 2023 Bundesliga
A. Lustenau vs Sturm Graz
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Bundesliga
A. Lustenau vs Sturm Graz
0:2
Sep 18, 2022 Bundesliga
Sturm Graz vs A. Lustenau
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

A. Lustenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Weixelbraun D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz 31 / 100
A. Lustenau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz A. Lustenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lustenau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: A. Lustenau conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sturm Graz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz VS A. Lustenau
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz

(Home)
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
05 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
1 : 4
Sturm Graz
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1
Sturm Graz
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A. Lustenau

(Away)
24 Sept
A. Lustenau
3 : 1
SW Bregenz
19 Sept
A. Lustenau
2 : 0
Altach
13 Sept
Austria Vienna
2 : 1
A. Lustenau
05 Sept
Lafnitz
2 : 6
A. Lustenau
28 Aug
A. Lustenau
0 : 4
Tirol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)