Sport Picks
Sturm Graz vs Celje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Europa League Merkur-Arena, Graz 
Match Events
17'
17'
Tutyskinas A.
29'
29'
Seslar S.
40'
40'
Diakite O.
AI Match Summary
The Europa League game between Sturm Graz and Celje finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celje.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Celje haven't matched Sturm Graz's recent run of results.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Celje taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 16%
Celje Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 5, 2026 Europa League
Sturm Graz vs Celje
2:3
Oct 12, 2018 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Celje
3:0
Jun 15, 2016 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Celje
2:0
Sep 4, 2015 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Celje
6:2
Feb 7, 2015 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Celje
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sturm Graz Compare
Top Goalscorer Diakite O.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Celje Compare
Top Goalscorer Seslar S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Verbic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sturm Graz 23 / 100
Celje 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sturm Graz Celje
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Celje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sturm Graz scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Celje has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Sturm Graz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sturm Graz VS Celje
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sturm Graz
(Home) 01 Nov
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 1 Sturm Graz
29 Oct
A. Lustenau
3 : 2 Sturm Graz
25 Oct
Sturm Graz
2 : 2 Ried
22 Oct
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 Marseille
18 Oct
Sturm Graz
6 : 1 Grazer AK
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Sturm Graz
2 : 2 Ried
22 Oct
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 Marseille
18 Oct
Sturm Graz
6 : 1 Grazer AK
02 Oct
Sturm Graz
3 : 1 Floridsdorfer AC Wien
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0 Rennes
Page 1 of 4
Celje
(Away) 01 Nov
Celje
4 : 0 Nafta
28 Oct
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1 Celje
25 Oct
Korotan Prevalje
0 : 2 Celje
22 Oct
Celje
2 : 2 Salzburg
18 Oct
Maribor
0 : 0 Celje
Page 1 of 6
28 Oct
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1 Celje
25 Oct
Korotan Prevalje
0 : 2 Celje
18 Oct
Maribor
0 : 0 Celje
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0 Celje
16 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 Celje
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Ferencvaros | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Royale Union SG | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Besiktas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Rennes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta Prague | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Din. Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 | Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 | OFI Crete | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 | H. Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
