Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Sturm Graz play Salzburg in the Bundesliga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sturm Graz averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Salzburg averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Sturm Graz won 2, Salzburg won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Sturm Graz and 1.63 for Salzburg. This points to a Sturm Graz double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sturm Graz picked up more points recently compared to Salzburg.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.63 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Salzburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sturm Graz Compare
Salzburg Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sturm Graz scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
Salzburg let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Sturm Graz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Salzburg lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LASK Linz | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 56:42 | 39 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 37 |
| 3 | Salzburg | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 56:41 | 29 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 45:50 | 29 |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 36:41 | 27 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 40:40 | 25 |