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Sturm Graz vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gorenc Stankovic J.
18' Event
Heil J.
56' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sturm Graz and Sanfrecce Hiroshima finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sturm Graz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sturm Graz
20%
Draws
47%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sturm Graz haven't matched Sanfrecce Hiroshima's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 10%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 10 2
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.83 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayombo A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gorenc Stankovic J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz 10 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz Sanfrecce Hiroshima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Sturm Graz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz

(Home)
20 Sept
Salzburg
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
16 Sept
Sturm Graz
0 : 0
Rennes
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2 : 1
LASK Linz
05 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
1 : 4
Sturm Graz
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3 : 1
Sturm Graz
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Away)
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
29 Aug
Gamba Osaka
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
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