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Sturm Graz vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sturm Graz play Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sturm Graz averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Sanfrecce Hiroshima averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Sturm Graz won 1, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Sturm Graz and 1.75 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. This points to a Sanfrecce Hiroshima double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sturm Graz
23%
Draws
39%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Sturm Graz picked up more points recently compared to Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 12%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 16
Draws 11 1
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-2
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sturm Graz
1-2
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sturm Graz
3-1
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Sturm Graz vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz 37 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sturm Graz attacking → ← attacking Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sturm Graz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 49
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13