Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sturm Graz W vs Austria Vienna W

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026
Sturm Graz W Logo

Sturm Graz W

1 - 2
FT
Austria Vienna W Logo

Austria Vienna W

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Uka M.
25'
Sub
Krumbock L. In: Kustrin Z.
Out: Krumbock L.
46'
Sub
Jakobsen S. In: Tragl L.
Out: Jakobsen S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Sturm Graz W and Austria Vienna W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austria Vienna W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sturm Graz W
15%
Draws
39%
Austria Vienna W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sturm Graz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austria Vienna W come out ahead of Sturm Graz W on wins alone.
  • Austria Vienna W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Austria Vienna W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 10%
Austria Vienna W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz W Austria Vienna W
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 16 24
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2.03 2.49
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Austria Vienna W
1:2
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Austria Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
3:1
Apr 4, 2026 OFB Cup Women
Austria Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Austria Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs Austria Vienna W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Petersen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Austria Vienna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Uka M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wenninger C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz W 18 / 100
Austria Vienna W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz W Austria Vienna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austria Vienna W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sturm Graz W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Austria Vienna W conceded in 43% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz W VS Austria Vienna W
2.5 Goals Scored 3.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz W

(Home)
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
13 Sept
Union Kleinmunchen W
0 : 4
Sturm Graz W
02 Sept
Gintra Universitetas W
3 : 5
Sturm Graz W
29 Aug
Sturm Graz W
3 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
Page 1 of 6

Austria Vienna W

(Away)
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Austria Vienna W
2 : 0
Union Kleinmunchen W
13 Sept
FC Sudburgenland W
0 : 5
Austria Vienna W
01 Sept
Austria Vienna W
4 : 0
Brann W
29 Aug
First Vienna W
1 : 1
Austria Vienna W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria Vienna W 6 2 4 0 58:8 62
2 St. Polten W 6 4 2 0 72:13 60
3 Sturm Graz W 6 1 1 4 47:35 38
4 Salzburg W 6 0 3 3 37:43 31
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)