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Sturm Graz W vs FC Sudburgenland W Prediction & H2H Stats

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026
Sturm Graz W Logo

Sturm Graz W

3 - 1
FT
FC Sudburgenland W Logo

FC Sudburgenland W

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kustrin Z.
Assist: Jakobsen S.
37' Event
Dorn K.
Assist: Sipos L.
46'
Sub
Brandl E. In: Tragl L.
Out: Brandl E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sturm Graz W in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sturm Graz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sturm Graz W
15%
Draws
0%
FC Sudburgenland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sturm Graz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sturm Graz W lately — more wins on the board than FC Sudburgenland W.
  • Win probability leans Sturm Graz W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sturm Graz W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 20%
FC Sudburgenland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz W FC Sudburgenland W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 0
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 2.2 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.54 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs FC Sudburgenland W
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs FC Sudburgenland W
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Bundesliga Women
FC Sudburgenland W vs Sturm Graz W
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Club Friendly Women
FC Sudburgenland W vs Sturm Graz W
1:3
May 29, 2022 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs FC Sudburgenland W
10:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kustrin Z.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

FC Sudburgenland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorn K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz W 85 / 100
FC Sudburgenland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz W FC Sudburgenland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm Graz W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sudburgenland W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Away concern: FC Sudburgenland W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sturm Graz W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (35 games).

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz W VS FC Sudburgenland W
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz W

(Home)
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
13 Sept
Union Kleinmunchen W
0 : 4
Sturm Graz W
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FC Sudburgenland W

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Sudburgenland W
0 : 1
SCR Altach W
19 Sept
St. Polten W
9 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
13 Sept
FC Sudburgenland W
0 : 5
Austria Vienna W
29 Aug
Sturm Graz W
3 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
23 Aug
FC Sudburgenland W
0 : 1
Union Kleinmunchen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria Vienna W 18 17 1 0 52:5 52
2 St. Polten W 18 15 1 2 60:10 46
3 Sturm Graz W 18 11 1 6 40:23 34
4 Salzburg W 18 8 4 6 35:34 28
5 SCR Altach W 18 8 4 6 32:34 28
6 First Vienna W 18 7 4 7 32:33 25
7 LASK Linz W 18 6 2 10 18:30 20
8 Neulengbach W 18 3 3 12 13:34 12
9 Union Kleinmunchen W 18 3 0 15 14:45 9
10 FC Sudburgenland W 18 1 2 15 23:71 5
Promotion - Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)