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Sturm Graz W vs First Vienna W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sturm Graz W host First Vienna W in the Bundesliga Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. First Vienna W have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Sturm Graz W have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.97. Head-to-head, Sturm Graz W have won 3 to First Vienna W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.31) point toward Sturm Graz W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sturm Graz W
20%
Draws
16%
First Vienna W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sturm Graz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sturm Graz W come out ahead of First Vienna W on wins alone.
  • Sturm Graz W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 18%
First Vienna W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz W First Vienna W
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Bundesliga Women
First Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 OFB Cup Women
First Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs First Vienna W
3:2
Aug 29, 2025 Bundesliga Women
First Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
3:5
May 17, 2025 Bundesliga Women
First Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz W 49 / 100
First Vienna W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz W First Vienna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm Graz W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sturm Graz W scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: First Vienna W conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Away concern: First Vienna W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz W VS First Vienna W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz W

(Home)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
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First Vienna W

(Away)
03 Oct
Salzburg W
3 : 1
First Vienna W
26 Sept
First Vienna W
2 : 3
LASK Linz W
20 Sept
SCR Altach W
4 : 0
First Vienna W
12 Sept
First Vienna W
1 : 4
St. Polten W
29 Aug
First Vienna W
1 : 1
Austria Vienna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Polten W 8 7 1 0 27:4 22
2 Sturm Graz W 9 6 2 1 22:8 20
3 Austria Vienna W 8 6 1 1 25:2 19
4 SCR Altach W 8 5 1 2 19:13 16
5 Salzburg W 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
6 LASK Linz W 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
7 First Vienna W 9 1 4 4 12:20 7
8 Rapid Vienna W 8 1 3 4 8:17 6
9 FC Sudburgenland W 9 1 2 6 6:24 5
10 Union Kleinmunchen W 9 1 1 7 5:24 4
Promotion - Bundesliga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga Women (Relegation Group)