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Sturm Graz W vs Gintra Universitetas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Europa Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Pereviznyk K.
35'
Grossgasteiger S.
46'
Sub
Blazevicute J. In: De Souza J.
Out: Blazevicute J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-5. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sturm Graz W
15%
Draws
51%
Gintra Universitetas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gintra Universitetas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gintra Universitetas W have won more games recently than Sturm Graz W.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Gintra Universitetas W taking it.
  • Gintra Universitetas W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sturm Graz W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 10%
Gintra Universitetas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturm Graz W Gintra Universitetas W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.04 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Gintra Universitetas W vs Sturm Graz W
3:5
Aug 26, 2026 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Sturm Graz W vs Gintra Universitetas W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sturm Graz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Breznik L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gintra Universitetas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereviznyk K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.9
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturm Graz W 22 / 100
Gintra Universitetas W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturm Graz W Gintra Universitetas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gintra Universitetas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm Graz W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Gintra Universitetas W conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Gintra Universitetas W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturm Graz W VS Gintra Universitetas W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.8
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturm Graz W

(Home)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
Page 1 of 6

Gintra Universitetas W

(Away)
02 Sept
Gintra Universitetas W
3 : 5
Sturm Graz W
26 Aug
Sturm Graz W
2 : 1
Gintra Universitetas W
08 Aug
Gintra Universitetas W
4 : 1
Riga FC W
05 Aug
Gintra Universitetas W
1 : 2
Hearts W
12 Jul
Gintra Universitetas W
5 : 0
Flora W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Minsk FK W 1
Agram Zagreb W 0
Fenerbahce W -
TBD -
Mitrovica W 0
FC Kharkiv W 5
Torreense W 9
Kolos Kovalivka W 2
Ajax W -
TBD -
Aktobe W -
TBD -
Wolfsburg W -
TBD -
Sturm Graz W 7
Gintra Universitetas W 4
Sparta Prague W -
TBD -
Farul Constanta W -
TBD -
Spartak Subotica W 1
Brondby W 9
Sporting W -
TBD -
St. Polten W -
TBD -
TBD -
Malmo FF W -
Breidablik W 9
Miercurea Ciuc W 1
TBD -
Czarni Sosnowiec W -
RSC Anderlecht W 3
Feyenoord W 4
Radomlje W 1
Valerenga W 9
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 3
Liberec W 4
SeaSters Odesa W 1
Rosenborg W 3
HJK W -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann W -
Hearts W -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Sociedad W -
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
TBD -
Apollon Limassol W 1
Hafnarfjordur W 2
PAOK W -
TBD -
TBD -
Myjava W -
Hammarby W -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers W -
PSV W -
TBD -
Hajduk Split W 1
Fortuna Hjorring W 3
Final
Minsk FK W 1
Fenerbahce W 5
FC Kharkiv W 2
Torreense W 6
Ajax W 8
Aktobe W 1
Wolfsburg W 8
Sturm Graz W 1
Sparta Prague W 8
Farul Constanta W 1
Brondby W 6
Sporting W 3
St. Polten W 0
Malmo FF W 5
Breidablik W 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W 7
Feyenoord W 5
Valerenga W 3
Liberec W 4
Rosenborg W 5
HJK W 0
Brann W 6
Hearts W 0
Real Sociedad W 4
Eintracht Frankfurt W 5
Hafnarfjordur W 1
PAOK W 3
Myjava W 4
Hammarby W 5
Rangers W 0
PSV W 1
Fortuna Hjorring W 0