Sport Picks
Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL South Australia Karinya Reserve, Eden Hills 
Match Events
4'
4'
Marino M.
7'
7'
Marino M.
17'
17'
Marino M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL South Australia game between Sturt Lions FC and Campbelltown City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campbelltown City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Campbelltown City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sturt Lions FC come out ahead of Campbelltown City on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sturt Lions FC's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Campbelltown City here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sturt Lions FC Clean Sheet 19%
Campbelltown City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sturt Lions FC | Campbelltown City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 NPL South Australia
Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City
1:3
May 23, 2026 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
2:0
May 13, 2023 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
3:1
Feb 18, 2023 NPL South Australia
Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City
1:2
Jul 2, 2022 NPL South Australia
Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sturt Lions FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Oostra T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Campbelltown City Compare
Top Goalscorer Marino M.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sturt Lions FC 36 / 100
Campbelltown City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sturt Lions FC Campbelltown City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sturt Lions FC's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Campbelltown City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Sturt Lions FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sturt Lions FC VS Campbelltown City
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sturt Lions FC
(Home) 15 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 3 Campbelltown City
11 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
0 : 0 Adelaide Comets
08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1 Sturt Lions FC
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3 Sturt Lions FC
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 3 Campbelltown City
11 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
0 : 0 Adelaide Comets
04 Jul
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 0 Playford Patriots
20 Jun
Sturt Lions FC
6 : 0 Para
30 May
Sturt Lions FC
2 : 1 FK Beograd
Page 1 of 4
Campbelltown City
(Away) 15 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 3 Campbelltown City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0 FK Beograd
31 Jul
Campbelltown City
0 : 4 Adelaide City
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2 Campbelltown City
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0 Adelaide Comets
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 3 Campbelltown City
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2 Campbelltown City
04 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
0 : 0 Campbelltown City
20 Jun
Playford Patriots
4 : 1 Campbelltown City
30 May
MetroStars
4 : 0 Campbelltown City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 44:16 | 48 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 54:29 | 45 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53:23 | 44 |
| 4 | Playford Patriots | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42:31 | 35 |
| 5 | FK Beograd | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Croydon | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 46:41 | 30 |
| 7 | Adelaide Utd U23 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 33:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Campbelltown City | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:36 | 29 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions FC | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 35:36 | 27 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 40:44 | 25 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25:38 | 20 |
| 12 | Para | 22 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16:102 | 2 |
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)
