Sport Picks

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Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Karinya Reserve, Eden Hills
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sturt Lions FC host Campbelltown City in the NPL South Australia. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Campbelltown City have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Sturt Lions FC have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Sturt Lions FC have won 0 to Campbelltown City's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.25) back Sturt Lions FC to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sturt Lions FC
6%
Draws
4%
Campbelltown City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sturt Lions FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sturt Lions FC come out ahead of Campbelltown City on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sturt Lions FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Campbelltown City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sturt Lions FC Clean Sheet 19%
Campbelltown City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sturt Lions FC Campbelltown City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
2:0
May 13, 2023 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
3:1
Feb 18, 2023 NPL South Australia
Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City
1:2
Jul 2, 2022 NPL South Australia
Sturt Lions FC vs Campbelltown City
0:1
Apr 2, 2022 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Sturt Lions FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sturt Lions FC 85 / 100
Campbelltown City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sturt Lions FC Campbelltown City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturt Lions FC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Campbelltown City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sturt Lions FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sturt Lions FC VS Campbelltown City
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sturt Lions FC

(Home)
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3
Sturt Lions FC
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0
Sturt Lions FC
04 Jul
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 0
Playford Patriots
26 Jun
West Torrens Birkalla
4 : 1
Sturt Lions FC
20 Jun
Sturt Lions FC
6 : 0
Para
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Campbelltown City

(Away)
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
04 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
0 : 0
Campbelltown City
27 Jun
Campbelltown City
0 : 0
West Adelaide
20 Jun
Playford Patriots
4 : 1
Campbelltown City
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide City19116236:1639
2MetroStars19114449:2237
3West Torrens Birkalla19113545:2736
4Playford Patriots1995540:2832
5FK Beograd1993731:2230
6Croydon1985642:3429
7Sturt Lions FC19811033:3225
8Adelaide Utd U231967626:2725
9Campbelltown City1965830:3123
10West Adelaide1957736:3522
11Adelaide Comets19441120:3516
12Para19021711:902
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)