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Sua Flamingoes vs BDF XI - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sua Flamingoes host BDF XI in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sua Flamingoes have averaged 1.53 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against BDF XI's 1.1 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Sua Flamingoes have won 4 to BDF XI's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.50 - 0.69) back Sua Flamingoes to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sua Flamingoes
30%
Draws
23%
BDF XI
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sua Flamingoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sua Flamingoes have won more games recently than BDF XI.
  • Model gives Sua Flamingoes a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sua Flamingoes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sua Flamingoes Clean Sheet 20%
BDF XI Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sua Flamingoes BDF XI
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
BDF XI vs Sua Flamingoes
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs BDF XI
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 Premier League
Sua Flamingoes vs BDF XI
4:2
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
BDF XI vs Sua Flamingoes
0:1
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
BDF XI vs Sua Flamingoes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sua Flamingoes 40 / 100
BDF XI 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sua Flamingoes BDF XI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sua Flamingoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sua Flamingoes's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

BDF XI's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sua Flamingoes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sua Flamingoes VS BDF XI
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sua Flamingoes

(Home)
09 Oct
Tonota
1 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
19 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 1
Enesia
12 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
Page 1 of 6

BDF XI

(Away)
11 Sept
Tonota
1 : 1
BDF XI
06 Sept
Prisons XI Gaborone
0 : 1
BDF XI
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3
Nico United
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
BDF XI
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2
Centre Chiefs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tonota 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
2 Sua Flamingoes 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
3 Police XI 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
4 Gaborone Utd 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
5 Nico United 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Tafic FC 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
7 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
8 Enesia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
9 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
10 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
11 Centre Chiefs 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 Morupule 4 0 2 2 2:6 2
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Matebele 4 0 0 4 1:6 0
16 Prisons XI Gaborone 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)