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Subiaco vs Gwelup Croatia SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

WA State League Rosalie Park, Perth
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Match Events

30' Event
Steele J.
39' Event
Wishart G.
50'
Pinto de Oliveira L.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Subiaco and Gwelup Croatia SC finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Subiaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Subiaco
20%
Draws
23%
Gwelup Croatia SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Subiaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Subiaco come out ahead of Gwelup Croatia SC on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Subiaco taking it.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 15%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiaco Gwelup Croatia SC
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Subiaco
2:1
May 16, 2026 WA State League
Subiaco vs Gwelup Croatia SC
5:1
Jul 26, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Subiaco
0:1
May 10, 2025 WA State League
Subiaco vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:4
Jun 22, 2024 WA State League
Subiaco vs Gwelup Croatia SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Subiaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Despotovski T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Steele J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilkinson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiaco 66 / 100
Gwelup Croatia SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiaco Gwelup Croatia SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Subiaco found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Gwelup Croatia SC let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Subiaco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Subiaco VS Gwelup Croatia SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiaco

(Home)
12 Sept
Balga SC
3 : 4
Subiaco
05 Sept
Subiaco
1 : 3
Balga SC
22 Aug
Subiaco
2 : 0
Cockburn City
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
08 Aug
Curtin University
2 : 2
Subiaco
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Gwelup Croatia SC

(Away)
22 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
4 : 4
Floreat Athena
18 Aug
Kingsley Westside
4 : 2
Gwelup Croatia SC
15 Aug
Quinns
2 : 0
Gwelup Croatia SC
01 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
2 : 1
Subiaco
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)