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Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands

Australia Australia

WA State League Rosalie Park
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AI Match Summary

Subiaco play UWA Nedlands in the WA State League. UWA Nedlands are favorites here. Recently, Subiaco averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. UWA Nedlands averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Subiaco won 1, UWA Nedlands won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Subiaco and 2.38 for UWA Nedlands. This points to a UWA Nedlands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Subiaco
6%
Draws
90%
UWA Nedlands
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UWA Nedlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UWA Nedlands has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Subiaco.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for UWA Nedlands.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in WA State League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 10%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiaco UWA Nedlands
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 WA State League
Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands
2:3
Jun 21, 2025 WA State League
Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Subiaco
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 WA State League
Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands
2:0
Jun 15, 2024 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Subiaco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Subiaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Despotovski T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harradine C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

UWA Nedlands Compare

Top Goalscorer McInnes J.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiaco 10 / 100
UWA Nedlands 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiaco UWA Nedlands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Subiaco scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

UWA Nedlands let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Subiaco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

UWA Nedlands lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Subiaco VS UWA Nedlands
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UWA Nedlands15112237:1735
2Floreat Athena15103234:1633
3Joondalup City1591527:2128
4Mandurah City1582536:2726
5Inglewood Utd1573513:1524
6Kingsley Westside1571724:2222
7Cockburn City1554628:3119
8Quinns1553719:3018
9Murdoch University Melville1536625:3015
10Gwelup Croatia SC1536621:3015
11Curtin University15231011:239
12Subiaco15301225:389