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Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands

Australia Australia

WA State League Rosalie Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
McInnes J.
27' Event
Despotovski T.
30' Event
McInnes J.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Subiaco and UWA Nedlands finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UWA Nedlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Subiaco
15%
Draws
54%
UWA Nedlands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UWA Nedlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Subiaco haven't matched UWA Nedlands's recent run of results.
  • UWA Nedlands are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 15%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiaco UWA Nedlands
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.53 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Subiaco
0:2
May 30, 2026 WA State League
Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands
2:3
Jun 21, 2025 WA State League
Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Subiaco
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 WA State League
Subiaco vs UWA Nedlands
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Subiaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Despotovski T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harradine C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UWA Nedlands Compare

Top Goalscorer McInnes J.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiaco 27 / 100
UWA Nedlands 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiaco UWA Nedlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UWA Nedlands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Subiaco's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UWA Nedlands has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Subiaco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Subiaco VS UWA Nedlands
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiaco

(Home)
05 Sept
Subiaco
1 : 3
Balga SC
22 Aug
Subiaco
2 : 0
Cockburn City
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
08 Aug
Curtin University
2 : 2
Subiaco
01 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
2 : 1
Subiaco
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UWA Nedlands

(Away)
05 Sept
Mandurah City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
22 Aug
Joondalup City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
08 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
0 : 3
UWA Nedlands
01 Aug
UWA Nedlands
3 : 0
Mandurah City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)