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Subiza vs AD San Juan Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Villamayor Y.
59' Event
Villamayor Y.
62' Event
Ibanez L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Subiza and AD San Juan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Subiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Subiza
20%
Draws
29%
AD San Juan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Subiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Subiza come out ahead of AD San Juan on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Subiza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Subiza Clean Sheet 68%
AD San Juan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiza AD San Juan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 13
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs AD San Juan
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Subiza
0:0
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Subiza vs AD San Juan
2:0
Mar 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Subiza
1:1
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs AD San Juan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Subiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Villamayor Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ibanez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AD San Juan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiza 86 / 100
AD San Juan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiza AD San Juan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Subiza scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

AD San Juan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Subiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Subiza VS AD San Juan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiza

(Home)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
30 Aug
Huesca B
4 : 1
Subiza
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AD San Juan

(Away)
26 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
AD San Juan
19 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Txantrea
12 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
AD San Juan
09 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Terrassa
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)