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Subiza vs Alesves

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ibanez L.
52' Event
Arrasate I.
65' Event
Asiron J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Subiza and Alesves finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Subiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Subiza
15%
Draws
0%
Alesves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Subiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alesves haven't matched Subiza's recent run of results.
  • Subiza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Subiza here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Subiza Clean Sheet 68%
Alesves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiza Alesves
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.67 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Alesves
5:0
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Subiza
1:3
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Alesves vs Subiza
0:5
Sep 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Alesves
4:0
Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Alesves
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Subiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arrasate I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Alesves Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiza 95 / 100
Alesves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiza Alesves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alesves conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Difficult form: Alesves registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Subiza scored in 75% of their last 36 games.

Scoring Trends

Subiza VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiza

(Home)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
30 Aug
Huesca B
4 : 1
Subiza
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Alesves

(Away)
11 May
Beti Kozkor
2 : 1
Alesves
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Cirbonero
4 : 1
Alesves
26 Apr
Alesves
0 : 1
Cortes
21 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 0
Alesves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)