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Subiza vs Aoiz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
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Match Events

30' Event
Navarro L.
45' Event
San Miguel E.
62'
Baztan A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Subiza and Aoiz finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Subiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Subiza
20%
Draws
51%
Aoiz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aoiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Subiza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Subiza Clean Sheet 68%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiza Aoiz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Aoiz
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Subiza
2:2
Apr 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Aoiz
0:2
Nov 17, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Subiza
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Subiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader San Miguel E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aoiz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiza 42 / 100
Aoiz 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiza Aoiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Subiza's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aoiz conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Subiza stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Subiza VS Aoiz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiza

(Home)
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
09 May
Beti Kozkor
0 : 0
Subiza
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
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Aoiz

(Away)
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1
CD Ardoi
11 Apr
Txantrea
2 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)