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Subiza vs CD Lourdes

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 game between Subiza and CD Lourdes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Subiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Subiza
15%
Draws
26%
CD Lourdes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Subiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Subiza come out ahead of CD Lourdes on wins alone.
  • Subiza are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Subiza Clean Sheet 20%
CD Lourdes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiza CD Lourdes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs CD Lourdes
1:0
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs Subiza
0:1
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs Subiza
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs CD Lourdes
1:2
Apr 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs Subiza
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiza 40 / 100
CD Lourdes 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiza CD Lourdes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Lourdes conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Subiza scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Subiza remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Subiza VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiza

(Home)
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
09 May
Beti Kozkor
0 : 0
Subiza
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
26 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Valle Egues
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CD Lourdes

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Lourdes
1 : 3
CD Sant Jordi
27 Sept
CD Sant Jordi
1 : 0
CD Lourdes
26 Jun
CD Lourdes
4 : 1
Txantrea
19 Jun
Subiza
1 : 0
CD Lourdes
12 Jun
CD Lourdes
2 : 3
CD River Ega
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