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Subiza vs Cirbonero Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Gonzalez A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Subiza and Cirbonero finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cirbonero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Subiza
30%
Draws
29%
Cirbonero
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Subiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Subiza come out ahead of Cirbonero on wins alone.
  • Model gives Subiza a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Subiza Clean Sheet 18%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiza Cirbonero
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.44 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Cirbonero
2:0
Mar 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Cirbonero
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Subiza
1:2
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Cirbonero
2:0
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs Subiza
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiza 67 / 100
Cirbonero 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiza Cirbonero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Subiza's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cirbonero conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Subiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Subiza VS Cirbonero
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiza

(Home)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
30 Aug
Huesca B
4 : 1
Subiza
Page 1 of 7

Cirbonero

(Away)
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)