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Subiza vs Erriberri

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2015/2016 game between Subiza and Erriberri finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Subiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Subiza
30%
Draws
31%
Erriberri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Subiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Subiza come out ahead of Erriberri on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Subiza Clean Sheet 20%
Erriberri Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiza Erriberri
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.34 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Erriberri
1:0
Oct 29, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Erriberri vs Subiza
3:2
Apr 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Erriberri
2:0
Nov 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Erriberri vs Subiza
1:0
Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Erriberri
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiza 31 / 100
Erriberri 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiza Erriberri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Subiza scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Erriberri has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Subiza remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Subiza VS Erriberri
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiza

(Home)
23 Aug
Subiza
2 : 2
Izarra
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
09 May
Beti Kozkor
0 : 0
Subiza
Page 1 of 7

Erriberri

(Away)
13 May
Burlades
2 : 2
Erriberri
07 May
Erriberri
2 : 0
CD River Ega
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 0
Erriberri
23 Apr
Erriberri
0 : 4
Txantrea
13 Apr
Oberena
2 : 0
Erriberri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Osasuna B 38 25 9 4 81:24 84
2 Cirbonero 38 24 8 6 67:32 80
3 AD San Juan 38 23 8 7 65:31 77
4 Mutilvera 38 22 10 6 81:35 76
5 Cortes 38 21 10 7 48:30 73
6 CD Ardoi 38 17 14 7 69:40 65
7 Valle Egues 37 15 10 12 55:51 55
8 Burlades 38 14 8 16 47:43 50
9 CD River Ega 38 15 5 18 48:58 50
10 Subiza 38 12 13 13 57:62 49
11 Txantrea 38 13 9 16 70:66 48
12 Pamplona 38 12 11 15 50:49 47
13 CD Cantolagua 38 11 11 16 40:54 44
14 Iruna 38 12 8 18 51:58 44
15 Huarte 38 9 12 17 39:52 39
16 Erriberri 37 9 12 16 21:53 39
17 Oberena 38 9 10 19 38:67 37
18 CD Baztan 38 9 5 24 53:97 32
19 CD Beti Onak 38 6 10 22 42:81 28
20 Mendi 38 5 9 24 34:73 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)