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Subiza vs Izarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Subiza and Izarra finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Subiza
20%
Draws
51%
Izarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Izarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Izarra's 1.8 goals per match outpaces what Subiza have produced (1.3).
  • Model gives Izarra a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Subiza Clean Sheet 18%
Izarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiza Izarra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.3 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Subiza
4:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Izarra
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Izarra
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Subiza
4:0
May 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Izarra vs Subiza
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiza 23 / 100
Izarra 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiza Izarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Subiza scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Izarra let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Subiza has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Subiza VS Izarra
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiza

(Home)
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
09 May
Beti Kozkor
0 : 0
Subiza
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
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Izarra

(Away)
06 Jun
Pamplona
5 : 1
Izarra
30 May
Izarra
1 : 1
Pamplona
24 May
Izarra
4 : 0
Subiza
17 May
Subiza
1 : 0
Izarra
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)