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Subiza vs Valle Egues

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Simon M.
42' Event
Iguaz A.
55' Event
Astrain A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 game between Subiza and Valle Egues finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Subiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Subiza
35%
Draws
32%
Valle Egues
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Subiza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Subiza a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Subiza have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Subiza Clean Sheet 13%
Valle Egues Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Subiza Valle Egues
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.42 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Valle Egues
5:2
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Valle Egues
4:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Subiza
0:3
Apr 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valle Egues vs Subiza
1:0
Dec 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Valle Egues
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Subiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Simon M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Valle Egues Compare

Top Goalscorer Astrain A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lacunza D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Subiza 35 / 100
Valle Egues 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Subiza Valle Egues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valle Egues let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Subiza scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Subiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Subiza VS Valle Egues
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Subiza

(Home)
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
30 Aug
Huesca B
4 : 1
Subiza
23 Aug
Subiza
2 : 2
Izarra
Page 1 of 7

Valle Egues

(Away)
19 Sept
Valle Egues
1 : 1
Mutilvera
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Valle Egues
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3
Valle Egues
09 May
Cirbonero
2 : 0
Valle Egues
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 4 4 0 0 16:2 12
2 Mutilvera 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
3 Subiza 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
4 Gazte Berriak 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
5 Beti Kozkor 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
6 Aoiz 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
7 Doneztebe FT 4 1 2 1 10:6 5
8 Ezcabarte 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
9 Txantrea 4 1 2 1 4:7 5
10 AD San Juan 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
11 CD Beti Onak 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
12 Cortes 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
13 Huarte 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
14 Pamplona 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 CD Cantolagua 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
16 Valle Egues 3 0 2 1 5:8 2
17 Bidezarra 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
18 Cirbonero 4 0 2 2 1:7 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)