Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suchitepequez vs Sanarate

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Santamaria K.
53' Event
Zapata W.
69' Event
Farfan M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2017/2018 game between Suchitepequez and Sanarate finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanarate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Suchitepequez
30%
Draws
54%
Sanarate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanarate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sanarate come out ahead of Suchitepequez on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sanarate a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sanarate here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 18%
Sanarate Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suchitepequez Sanarate
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Sanarate
1:3
Jan 14, 2018 Liga Nacional
Sanarate vs Suchitepequez
1:0
Oct 15, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Sanarate
1:0
Aug 13, 2017 Liga Nacional
Sanarate vs Suchitepequez
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suchitepequez Compare

Top Goalscorer Santamaria K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Sanarate Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Farfan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suchitepequez 28 / 100
Sanarate 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suchitepequez Sanarate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suchitepequez scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Sanarate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Suchitepequez went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suchitepequez VS Sanarate
0 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Suchitepequez

(Home)
09 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
01 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
26 Jul
Suchitepequez
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
18 Jul
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Malacateco
06 May
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

Sanarate

(Away)
08 May
Guastatoya
4 : 1
Sanarate
05 May
Sanarate
2 : 0
Guastatoya
02 May
Malacateco
0 : 1
Sanarate
28 Apr
Sanarate
1 : 1
Xelaju
24 Apr
Santa Lucia
1 : 0
Sanarate
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanarate 22 11 7 4 29:14 40
2 Coban Imperial 22 12 3 7 32:21 39
3 Guastatoya 22 11 5 6 27:18 38
4 Antigua 22 11 4 7 42:34 37
5 Xelaju 22 9 4 9 31:31 31
6 Siquinala 22 8 7 7 20:22 31
7 Comunicaciones 22 8 5 9 22:26 29
8 Petapa 22 9 2 11 27:33 29
9 Municipal 22 8 4 10 34:28 28
10 Suchitepequez 22 7 4 11 29:36 25
11 Malacateco 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
12 Marquense 22 4 5 13 16:39 17
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2017/2018 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2017/2018 (Clausura - Play Offs)