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Sud America vs Tacuarembo

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2024 Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sud America play Tacuarembo in the Segunda Division 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sud America averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Tacuarembo averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Sud America won 0, Tacuarembo won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 5, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Sud America and 0.99 for Tacuarembo. This points to a Tacuarembo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sud America
44%
Draws
20%
Tacuarembo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Tacuarembo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sud America.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda Division 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Sud America Clean Sheet 23%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sud America Tacuarembo
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 15
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Sud America
2:2
Jun 22, 2024 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Tacuarembo
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Tacuarembo
0:2
Nov 11, 2023 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Tacuarembo
1:2
Jun 25, 2023 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Sud America
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sud America Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tacuarembo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas Guedes S. N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sud America 37 / 100
Tacuarembo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sud America Tacuarembo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sud America scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tacuarembo let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sud America went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tacuarembo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tacuarembo
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%