Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudan U20 vs Uganda U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sudan U20 host Uganda U20 in the CECAFA Championship U20. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Uganda U20 have shipped 0.89 goals a game lately, while Sudan U20 have conceded 1.96 and scored 1.22. Past meetings favor Uganda U20 slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2022, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.65 xG vs 1.00) point toward Uganda U20. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sudan U20
15%
Draws
45%
Uganda U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uganda U20 lately — more wins on the board than Sudan U20.
  • Uganda U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudan U20 Uganda U20
Matches Played 27 35
Wins 6 23
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.22 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.96 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Sudan U20 vs Uganda U20
0:2
Sep 25, 2019 Friendly International
Uganda U20 vs Sudan U20
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudan U20 12 / 100
Uganda U20 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudan U20 Uganda U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudan U20's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Uganda U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Sudan U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sudan U20 VS Uganda U20
0.67 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
33% Over 1.5 25%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudan U20

(Home)
15 Oct
Sudan U20
0 : 4
Kenya U20
10 Oct
Tanzania U20
1 : 0
Sudan U20
08 Oct
Sudan U20
1 : 0
Rwanda U20
06 Oct
Sudan U20
3 : 1
Djibouti U20
11 Nov
Ethiopia U20
1 : 2
Sudan U20
Page 1 of 6

Uganda U20

(Away)
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
18 Oct
Uganda U20
1 : 2
Tanzania U20
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
09 Oct
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U20 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Ethiopia U20 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Rwanda U20 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Sudan U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Djibouti U20 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi U20 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Kenya U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 South Sudan U20 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)