Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudan vs Burkina Faso

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Mohamed V
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Traore L.
Assist: Aziz Ki S.
24' Event
Nooh A. G.
Penalty Missed
35'
Badolo C.

AI Match Summary

Sudan host Burkina Faso in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Sudan have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Burkina Faso's 2 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Sudan slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 31, 2025, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.69) point toward Burkina Faso. Burkina Faso in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sudan
22%
Draws
60%
Burkina Faso
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Burkina Faso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Burkina Faso has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sudan.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Burkina Faso.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Africa Cup of Nations 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Sudan Clean Sheet 13%
Burkina Faso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudan Burkina Faso
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 31, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Sudan vs Burkina Faso
0:2
Jan 30, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations
Sudan vs Burkina Faso
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Burkina Faso Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouassi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudan 19 / 100
Burkina Faso 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudan Burkina Faso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudan scored in 41% of their last 27 games.

Burkina Faso let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sudan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Burkina Faso lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sudan VS Burkina Faso
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco32106:17
2Mali30302:23
3Comoros30210:22
4Zambia30211:42
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt32103:17
2South Africa32015:46
3Angola30212:32
4Zimbabwe30124:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nigeria33008:49
2Tunisia31116:54
3Tanzania30213:42
4Uganda30123:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Senegal32107:17
2D.R. Congo32105:17
3Benin31021:43
4Botswana30030:70
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria33007:19
2Burkina Faso32014:26
3Sudan31021:53
4Equatorial Guinea30032:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ivory Coast32105:37
2Cameroon32104:27
3Mozambique31024:53
4Gabon30034:70